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New I wouldn't worry about Toronto
If in the next week you continue to hear about isolated cases, but there is no sign in Hong Kong and Singapore of thousands getting sick, and there aren't a long list of cities popping up from which vectors seem to originate, then it almost certainly is contained.

I would personally be concerned if there is a city somewhere which is reporting thousands rather than hundreds. Or if the number of cities with outbreaks of a hundred or so keeps on growing. Either would indicate to me that despite public health efforts, it is continuing to grow towards a critical mass.

So if in a week there are 100 cases in Toronto but no new big centers of outbreak get reported, I would be comfortable. If in a week Toronto is clearly under control but Hong Kong is not, I would be worried.

Also I would like to note that being in a city of millions with an outbreak of hundreds is a small risk. Unless, of course, you are either working in the medical field or the outbreak takes off.

Cheers,
Ben
"good ideas and bad code build communities, the other three combinations do not"
- [link|http://archives.real-time.com/pipermail/cocoon-devel/2000-October/003023.html|Stefano Mazzocchi]
New I'm not... yet.
As I said, the next week or so will tell the tale. It's been reported that the family that was sick made two separate visits to emerg before they were taken in; it was only on their third visit that they were admitted and put into isolation. If it's as infectious as it appears, that could mean major numbers of people have been exposed. OTOH, now that the health unit there knows what they're dealing with, they're taking all reasonable steps to find people who may have been exposed and bringing them in.
--\r\n-------------------------------------------------------------------\r\n* Jack Troughton                            jake at consultron.ca *\r\n* [link|http://consultron.ca|http://consultron.ca]                   [link|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca] *\r\n* Kingston Ontario Canada               [link|news://news.consultron.ca|news://news.consultron.ca] *\r\n-------------------------------------------------------------------
     WHO virus warning update, it has spread to canada - (boxley) - (49)
         Yes. this is big news up here today. - (jake123)
         Scary - (ben_tilly) - (6)
             CDC (typical conservative) response - (tseliot) - (4)
                 How do you assess the risk? - (ben_tilly) - (3)
                     Next week will tell the tale - (jake123) - (2)
                         I wouldn't worry about Toronto - (ben_tilly) - (1)
                             I'm not... yet. - (jake123)
             Yes, this is not good, not good at all - (jake123)
         and so it begins - (rcareaga) - (38)
             Well..I actually *understand* it... - (ben_tilly) - (37)
                 as useful as Navaho traditions - (boxley)
                 We may be speaking at cross-purposes... - (rcareaga) - (35)
                     No, not animist, analist would be more apt :) -NT - (boxley) - (19)
                         Re: No, not animist, analist would be more apt :) - (rcareaga) - (18)
                             your description of what others might think of you - (boxley) - (17)
                                 The "Viega" tag.. - (rcareaga) - (16)
                                     no problem I find it amusing and that is the only criteria - (boxley) - (7)
                                         why then, if it amuses you - (rcareaga) - (1)
                                             thank you sir for your understanding -NT - (boxley)
                                         Well.. I guess it might amuse me that - (Ashton) - (4)
                                             I would have thought by now you of all people - (boxley) - (3)
                                                 Who He? - (Ashton) - (2)
                                                     inna movie i sentya :-) busy lad ashton -NT - (boxley) - (1)
                                                         Well.. yeah: the Worm in the Apple, or maybe the asp - (Ashton)
                                     since I feel sorry for ya Viega - (boxley) - (7)
                                         Re: since I feel sorry for ya Viega - (rcareaga) - (4)
                                             Joys of the unfettered associative-brain: - (Ashton) - (1)
                                                 Re: Joys of the unfettered associative-brain: - (rcareaga)
                                             since I only heard it, it sounds like Viega with a bad Irish - (boxley) - (1)
                                                 socialist? hardly - (rcareaga)
                                         Nit - (Silverlock)
                                         Romolo Valli - (deSitter)
                     We may indeed be speaking at cross-purposes - (ben_tilly) - (14)
                         huh?? - (rcareaga) - (12)
                             Quite simply... - (ben_tilly) - (11)
                                 Re: Quite simply... - (rcareaga) - (10)
                                     pick up yer local copy of the bible - (boxley)
                                     You seem to have missed the point - (ben_tilly) - (8)
                                         Re: You seem to have missed the point - (rcareaga) - (1)
                                             I think that I have read enough evolution theory for now... - (ben_tilly)
                                         Methinks the hypothesis could not be tested. - (Ashton) - (5)
                                             In other words, it's a statement of faith. -NT - (jake123)
                                             blazing metaphors - (rcareaga) - (1)
                                                 Good reminder.. - (Ashton)
                                             What value do you seek from the hypothesis? - (ben_tilly) - (1)
                                                 You might wish to be careful re the assumption that - (Ashton)
                         Re: We may indeed be speaking at cross-purposes - (deSitter)
         Iraq must've launched one of its bio-weapons. -NT - (mmoffitt)
         New case in Toronto - (jake123)

It's only Monday, and that is already the dumbest question of the week.
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