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Post #51,948
by Simon_Jester
9/16/02 5:28:29 PM
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New Close...
but I think you'll find the political manuvering even more to your advantage.

Let's see, Saddam claims to have 3 nukes. (No one really knows anything.)

Saddam test fires one of them - (and unless the US and others are VERY smart and claim it's an earthquake) - proves to the world that he has them.
Post #51,950
by Brandioch
9/16/02 5:38:55 PM
Reply
New Yup. That's "deterrent".
If people know he has them, they are far less likely to attack (unless we're talking about India and Pakistan).

"Cold War".

Personally, I cannot see any reason for NOT testing a nuke.
Post #51,981
by wharris2
9/16/02 10:41:06 PM
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New Good reasons.
He tests a nuke, he's showed the world that he's got them and thus justifies some sort of military action. Holding them in reserve, he can claim he doesn't have them.

Wherever he may have gotten them, if in fact he actually has any (either from former USSR stocks, or home-built), it would be dangerous. Me, given Saudi instability, and Saudi funded terrorism, I'm not real sure I'd be much in favor of spending our lives and money protecting them.
The lawyers would mostly rather be what they are than get out of the way even if the cost was Hammerfall. - Jerry Pournelle
Post #51,987
by Brandioch
9/16/02 11:21:56 PM
Reply
New Even better.
He tests a nuke, he's showed the world that he's got them and thus justifies some sort of military action. Holding them in reserve, he can claim he doesn't have them.
A nuke is NOT a firecracker.

A nuke takes a LOT of sophisticated engineering.

He COULD hold them in reserve.

But, as I said above, he'd be HOPING that they would work.

The first time.

Under combat conditions.

Without testing.

Again, he COULD do that.

In which case, how is Iraq a threat to us?

Me, given Saudi instability, and Saudi funded terrorism, I'm not real sure I'd be much in favor of spending our lives and money protecting them.
We aren't. It's the oil. The Saudi's just happen to be sitting on it (and pretend to be, somewhat, US-friendly).
     Iraq to have nukes by Christmas - (marlowe) - (15) - Sept. 16, 2002, 12:14:55 PM EDT
         Where is he going to use it who/why - (boxley) - (1) - Sept. 16, 2002, 12:26:36 PM EDT
             Re: Where is he going to use it who/why - (wharris2) - Sept. 20, 2002, 12:38:25 AM EDT
         Place your bets. - (Brandioch) - (6) - Sept. 16, 2002, 01:35:33 PM EDT
             Amazing theory... - (bepatient) - (5) - Sept. 16, 2002, 01:44:56 PM EDT
                 An un-tested weapon? - (Brandioch) - (4) - Sept. 16, 2002, 04:59:54 PM EDT
                     Close... - (Simon_Jester) - (3) - Sept. 16, 2002, 05:28:29 PM EDT
                         Yup. That's "deterrent". - (Brandioch) - (2) - Sept. 16, 2002, 05:38:55 PM EDT
                             Good reasons. - (wharris2) - (1) - Sept. 16, 2002, 10:41:06 PM EDT
                                 Even better. - (Brandioch) - Sept. 16, 2002, 11:21:56 PM EDT
         Nah...he'd never... - (bepatient) - Sept. 16, 2002, 01:39:59 PM EDT
         Would be very credible - (JayMehaffey) - (4) - Sept. 16, 2002, 04:09:41 PM EDT
             Re: Aha - someone else who noticed that little fact - (dmarker2) - (3) - Sept. 18, 2002, 10:12:42 AM EDT
                 Well if I got materials and tools I could have one by xmas -NT - (boxley) - (2) - Sept. 18, 2002, 11:24:59 AM EDT
                     Doubt it, Box - (Ashton) - (1) - Sept. 18, 2002, 03:19:28 PM EDT
                         But I still have the plans - (boxley) - Sept. 18, 2002, 03:31:06 PM EDT

No, not really.
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