Vista could be MS's newfangled DOS 4 or Waterloo.

Don't you believe it.

This time next year, it'll be everywhere. The days of MS nearly dying on a crappy release are long gone. MS might be dying - and I don't think they are, more's the pity - but Vista isn't make or break, because Office continues to make what we scientists call A Very Large Amount Of Money.

(Well, almost everywhere. My computer will be cheerfully running 10.5 by then.)