Your logic is impeccable here (no sarcasm implied whatsoever).

Only metaphor suffices to describe our position now .. Deep Doodoo? Rock/*/HardPlace.

And I wouldn't blame Dubya (if he stays the course in similar fashion as to date) for tactical errors if.. even I (!) couldn't have foreseen better.

Seriously: I believe it shall indeed be a matter of Luck, far more than any Wonkish stratagems / Brilliant psycho-coups / Military actions - until some next event forces (?) a sharp branch into yet-Newer territory - whether that is ~ about Ramadan? winter starvation spectre? a next action 'here'? .. Simply, nobody could possibly extrapolate historical 'warfare' to find a popular EZ next angle. IMhO analysis fails, at the moment.



Ashton