I dug up these docs that cover a range of technologies
In particular they offer various opinions on hardware chip advances vs network growth & network speed improvements.
The main point I guess, is that if network speeds do advance dramatically, then SMP will be equalled or bettered by clusters (clusters assume homogeous computing) and then GRIDs (heterogenous computing).
The case for GRID is that by the time all the interfaces & tools & standards are set, GRID will become the dominant computing model. IBM are taking this view & have announced they will GRID enable *all* their platforms.
Doug Marker
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Moore's, Metcalfe's & Gilder's laws (Gilder: Bandwidth rises three times faster than computer power).
[link|http://www.findarticles.com/cf_dls/m0BRZ/12_22/98977161/p1/article.jhtml|http://www.findartic.../p1/article.jhtml]
Grid computing & Moore's law
[link|http://gridcafe.web.cern.ch/gridcafe/Gridhistory/moore.html|http://gridcafe.web....istory/moore.html]
Moore's law and processor chips
[link|http://www.wired.com/news/technology/0,1282,50672,00.html|http://www.wired.com...282,50672,00.html]
Wi-Fi & Moore's law
[link|http://www.ciol.com/content/news/2003/103061003.asp|http://www.ciol.com/...003/103061003.asp]
Moore on Moore's law
[link|http://news.com.com/2100-1001-203750.html?legacy=cnet|http://news.com.com/....html?legacy=cnet]
Metcalfe's law & Networking (1998 - Jim Barksdale)
[link|http://wp.netscape.com/columns/mainthing/it.html|http://wp.netscape.c...mainthing/it.html]
Doug Marker