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New Survey finds few in U.S. understand science
From [link|http://www.cnn.com/2002/TECH/science/04/30/science.understanding.ap/index.html|CNN's summary]:
The survey, part of the National Science Foundation's biennial report on the state of science understanding, research, education and investment, found that the belief in "pseudoscience" is common in America.
But here's the part that really pisses me off. Considering the subject of the story, you would think CNN would have a clueful editor review their version. But instead, we get this:
The scientific validity of astrology -- the belief that an alignment of the planets can affect events on Earth -- is rejected by 60 percent of Americans, as is the idea that some numbers are lucky while others are not. But 43 percent say they still read the astrology charts at least occasionally in the newspaper.
Does it take a genious to realize that if 60 percent reject it that about 40 percent accept it? So is it really such a surprise that 43 percent read it in the paper "occasionally"?
===
I can't be a Democrat because I like to spend the money I make.
I can't be a Republican because I like to spend the money I make on drugs and whores.
New There are lies, damned lies...
...and statistics.

If 60% reject it out of hand, 40% don't necessarily accept it - there are those who just don't know, or haven't thought about it - my guess would be 10-20%.
"He who fights with monsters might take care lest he thereby become a monster. And if you gaze for long into an abyss, the abyss gazes also into you." - Friedrich Nietzsche
New Horoscopes
No, I don't believe in astrology.

Still, I'll read the odd horoscope. Not because I believe in it. But because these are interestingly written, generic bits of advice/input, which can be broadly interpreted (that's why they work). So if I read them, I read all of 'em. Brezney's Real Astrology is a good one.

Same way I'll read the Grab Bag, trivia, sports, or much of what's printed on this virtual fishwrap.

Point: reading horoscope != believe in astrology.
--
Karsten M. Self [link|mailto:kmself@ix.netcom.com|kmself@ix.netcom.com]
[link|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/|[link|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/]]
What part of "gestalt" don't you understand?

   Keep software free.     Oppose the CBDTPA.     Kill S.2048 dead.
[link|http://www.eff.org/alerts/20020322_eff_cbdtpa_alert.html|[link|http://www.eff.org/alerts/20020322_eff_cbdtpa_alert.html|http://www.eff.org/...a_alert.html]]
New Read the right horoscopes.
[link|http://www.freewillastrology.com/pages/allsigns.shtml|Here]
New I've sometims had great fun...
..reading out the astrology page of a newspaper to a believer, who then went "Wow, that's *so* true!" ... except of course to this Taurus I read out the Aquarian horoscope...

I can't remember where I read it, but I believe a teacher once handed out an astrology passage to every student, suitably marked to their star sign. All the students went "ooh... true ... spooky". The teacher then asked the students to pass their piece of paper on to the person next to them - which is when the students found out that every single passage was the same.

Reminds me of a good book I read recently "Did Adam and Eve have Navels?" which I should probably do a review on or something.
On and on and on and on,
and on and on and on goes John.
New Class experiment
The classic is "a personal profile".

The clincher. Even after seeing their neighbors' profiles, a significant fraction of the group usually still believes the description was personally addressed to them.

The epigram I've seen recently, to the effect of: you cannot convince by logic beliefs based in faith. Too right.
--
Karsten M. Self [link|mailto:kmself@ix.netcom.com|kmself@ix.netcom.com]
[link|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/|[link|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/|http://kmself.home.netcom.com/]]
What part of "gestalt" don't you understand?

   Keep software free.     Oppose the CBDTPA.     Kill S.2048 dead.
[link|http://www.eff.org/alerts/20020322_eff_cbdtpa_alert.html|[link|http://www.eff.org/alerts/20020322_eff_cbdtpa_alert.html|http://www.eff.org/...a_alert.html]]
New Heh.. toy 'astrology' that -
As Sai Baba said, "Astrology good science. No good Astrologers." [now]

But agreement - the level of BS in these general daily horoscopes is - National Enquirer grade! (The silliest parts are always about 'predictions') {sigh}

That it should be this way - is hardly surprising, either. BS is our most important daily product, no?




Ashton
New 'Astrology' chestnut____ again ?!
Like the idea of 'medicine' and whether we should get up off our knees when saying 'Doctor' (!?)

"Real Astrologers\ufffd" through the ages - predated shrinks. They HATED being (sometimes forced) to make 'predictions' -- which has nada Zippo to do with the stuff of homo-sap "breeds" (like Cocker Spaniels), "types" etc. Astrology - when there were Real Astrologers - was NEVER about predicting events; not to say that spin by the egotist - was invented by Billy just lately.

Anyone who believes that 'Astrology' cannot often reveal lots about how a particular person 'usually behaves' - is a person who knows no more about Astrology than.. having read the infotainment "horoscopes" in the paper.

Now as to the difficulty of (our Grand Idea of) causality - that which can see no connection between Newtonian (or Riemannian or ..) motions of celestial objects and 'people': Never mind! the 'causality' and our Certainty that: were there such, we would See It. [Sure we Would] OK?

Screw the 'methodology' - if via Murican John Dewey Pragmatism: a 'Real Astrologer' can reveal personality quirks which most shrinks fail to notice. I say *IF* .. and I have met at least two Real Astrologers in my lifetime. (Alas neither is alive today) -- and lots more wanna-be 'psychologists'. I know which of these offered the clearer insights and which: psychobabble, aimed at mere social life-"adjustment" under the guise of 'mental health'. Babytalk. Jargon. Rote-recipes.

I cannot doubt that there are as many 'astrologer' charlatans as there are PHBs and Economists in the world! Throw out this baby with the bathwater, if you must. Just don't pretend that you have "cooled the course", in doing so.


Ashton
who would not dream of 'sending anyone to an astrologer'. Or a church. Or towards an MBA.
New Mental crutches
That is how I view astrology in the hands of a good astrologer. (Ditto Tarot, etc.)

The "tool" is broken and doesn't work. But it gives the practitioner something that they can use to associate with virtually any impression of a person. If said practitioner is a good judge of character, the tool gives ways to free them to say useful things that they couldn't otherwise say.

But that doesn't say anything about the effectiveness of the tool. You might as well throw yarrow stalks...

Cheers,
Ben
"... I couldn't see how anyone could be educated by this self-propagating system in which people pass exams, teach others to pass exams, but nobody knows anything."
--Richard Feynman
New Perspicuity, then.
It is easy to dismiss the calculations as "a mental crutch" - though in order to do so "for lack of demonstrable 'causality'" - one must also sidestep very much that is merely presumed.. in our use of that word.

Accordingly, I have little idea what are the ingredients of a 'Good Astrologer', and arguing definitions of causality is about as fruitful as arguing religious dogma. I'll settle for perspicuity -- and in the same sense that:

Rembrandt's students could not acquire his abilities - even via his personal instruction. A very good psychologist ie one who actually knows how to observe and has experience vast enough to 'interpret' -- may be in a similar class to a 'Good Astrologer' (?) Maybe.

I know of no paradigm for fathoming human personality, and I never met a psychologist as insightful as the mentioned two Astrologers. Pragmatism is what we use re results, when the method can not be taught by rote, or the problem is too complex to have become analysed adequately. (If indeed 'analysis' is even an appropriate tool re a homo-sap creature - via another homo-sap creature)


Ashton
New As long as the idiocy exists... it'll remain idiotic.
Ashton, you have the perspicuity to dismiss _religion_ for the superstition it is... So how the fuck come you can't see that astrology (and other "New Age" blather, such as crystals and homeopathy and fuck knows what else) is just the same?!?

Whatever you want to claim about those "real" astrologers of ancient times, and a few exceptions of your personal aquaintance -- as long as they persist in claiming "the Stars" have _anything_ to do with _anything_, they're spouting *bullshit*.

That's just the way it is. Whatever fucking psychological insights or what-have-you these people have or had, that's just what it is/was: psychological insights or what-have-you. To the extent that they're mixing ANYTHING to which the prefix astro- can apply into their soup, they are (to quote Ben) relying on superfluous (and therefore potentially downright misleading) psychological crutches.

You don't think it's particularly smart to believe in organised (or dis-organised, for that matter) religion, do you? But I'm sure you, like me, have known religious people who were *otherwise* pretty smart, or even "wise". Thing is, you seem to be able to distinguish that wisdom from their religiosity... So why do you refuse to do the same with these not-organised-religion superstitions?!?

Sorry, but as long as you persist in defending or advocating this lunacy, you are yourself perpetrating no less of an idiocy.

The ironic thing is that apparently, you just can't see that.
   Christian R. Conrad
Of course, who am I to point fingers? I'm in the "Information Technology" business, prima facia evidence that there's bats in the bell tower.
-- [link|http://z.iwethey.org/forums/render/content/show?contentid=27764|Andrew Grygus]
New That reminds me of something amusing
I have heard that the book [link|http://skepdic.com/refuge/weird.html|Why People Believe Weird Things] has generated a lot of mail talking about how every chapter except one is really excellent. They disagree, of course, on which chapter shows Shermer's ignorance of some particular topic...

Cheers,
Ben
"... I couldn't see how anyone could be educated by this self-propagating system in which people pass exams, teach others to pass exams, but nobody knows anything."
--Richard Feynman
New Your faith is in 'quantifiable' knowledge, apparently
So then - if the process can't be comprehended.. it isn't really 'knowledge'. You didn't say that, but you imply it.
But I'm sure you, like me, have known religious people who were *otherwise* pretty smart, or even "wise". Thing is, you seem to be able to distinguish that wisdom from their religiosity... So why do you refuse to do the same with these not-organised-religion superstitions?!?
It is you who deny their [OK call it wisdom] - since *whatever imaginable connection* twixt "the stars" and a homo-sap ?? appears so: unprovable. No?

I do not say that this connection *exists*. Say simply that - an inability to demonstrate that it does - is NOT 'proof' (a heavily misused word like 'causality') that there is NONE. I am not sure if such a proof is possible, even if it is conceivable. It sure as hell ain't 'physics'.

I suggest that very much which goes on in life - is in similar limbo: either because we do not know (enough) or because our methods (statistical analysis, say?) are themselves crude, mostly mathematically-oriented and are frequently - a kind of overlay we place over whatever Reality is in our attempts to grok WTF we're doing here.

"Mathematically oriented" example: the very concept of proof! - and its purest form is 'mathematical proof': and THAT, within rigidly constrained axioms of our own invention. Move from math and the concept becomes fuzzier and fuzzier - especially where ANY homo-sap is involved in the matter being examined.

I am "certain enough" too - that the vast majority of 'Astrologers' today are more or less incompetents / frauds or both. As with founders of new religions - like Bernie Schwartz (or whoever 'Werner Erhardt' was before he changed his name). Founding religions is EZ - ask those who knew L. Ron, when he used to speak of just-That, as the most lucrative bizness to get into.

As to older religions - before the $US was invented, fear was enough incentive to hire an 'intercessor' for protection against things that go bump.. yada yada. Lightning sure looked.. a lot like an Angry Thor. Plague sure looked like.. Gawd's Little Acher (sorry)

So: nope, I don't claim causality between celestial objects and human personality. I do claim that we haven't the foggiest means for demonstrating that 'Astrology' *was* (merely and obviously)

[What you said]

To try for KISS: I go with Hamlet, to Horatio: There are more things between *heaven and earth than are dreamt of in your philosophy

* let's leave the Christian concept with golden harps and Thrones and no sex and ... out of it, please; let's say that Will S. likely meant er Providence or The Unknown and Unknowable or ... OK? (Will was maybe the least superstitious gent of his time, though he knew what symbols were effective. IMhO natch)

Sorry but - 'wisdom' lies also in grokking *when* one doesn't know Shit about this or that Question as comes up. If I hadn't met Bennett, I'd likely continue to imagine I Knew it was all BS. Too. Then we'd agree just now.

But I'd still be Wrong, thinking I Knew (!) What I'll grant is: Yes, today it is *most often BS*, like the 'Other' kind mentioned.

HTH


Ashton
Besides... You *ARE* in the Information Technology business!
What's YOUR excuse for furthering idiocy ??

:-\ufffd
New Astrology is bollocks.
Get over it.


Peter
[link|http://www.debian.org|Shill For Hire]
[link|http://www.kuro5hin.org|There is no K5 Cabal]
New Astrology=psychology, tools are different
stars and moons and planets vs inkblots, personality tests and observation. Dont know about Astrology but can tell you as an ex bouncer that the full moon is bad news for craziness and the fall lull moon is the worst. psychology is an art form also, two people taking the same educational courses will produce two very different skill level psychologists. It is not an exact science.
thanx,
bill
TAM ARIS QUAM ARMIPOTENS
New We have a saying in Sweden: "Goddag, yxskaft".
That means "Hello, ax-handles".

IOW: WTF does that have to do with anything?
   Christian R. Conrad
Of course, who am I to point fingers? I'm in the "Information Technology" business, prima facia evidence that there's bats in the bell tower.
-- [link|http://z.iwethey.org/forums/render/content/show?contentid=27764|Andrew Grygus]
New in reference to astrology and your comments about blather
Just pointed out that astrologers, soothesayers and so on preform the same functions as a physcologist with about the same success ratio.
thanks,
Bill
TAM ARIS QUAM ARMIPOTENS
New That's closer to my view of it..
Personally, I have no interest in 'horoscopes' nor any daily involvement with the discipline? / art? / science? / scam (so often - today).

But as to its being snake oil: then it has lots of company - like Pop psych (often taught as a University course). The dogma of the various 'Schools' of psych are correlative to religions: Reichians have their version, as do Maslow- ... et al. None is science, though efforts are made to employ statistics - these efforts often fall short, and always 'prove' little.

Other company: allopathic medicine, promoted (at least in the US) as the 'Christianity' of body care ie. The One True Method. Won't wast time listing alternatives (nor attempting to suggest when/where an alternative might produce better results). Then too, as with all Professions - wherein people profess To Know: clearly it is caveat emptor from the get-go, whichever method one opts to try. 'Faith' appears to be the largest ingredient in medicine or choices of a psychologist - it sure as hell ain't Science, and you can forget appending exact for all obvious reasons. MDs I have dealt with (re research involving radiation of tumors, etc) have been uniformly weak in science, and characteristically uncurious about their rote assumptions. Add arrogance (esp. in a young pup) and stir.

Anyway (I repeat) - I'd never 'recommend' that someone visit an Astrologer, though if that particular one were still alive - I might, if asked for some recommendation regarding psych. Ditto an MD, though I have in the past met a few who maintained open minds, tested their own treatment policies and did Not treat the PDR - as a medical Bible, and pharm-chem as the panacea.

It's a crap shoot out there. I suppose I mistrust Certainty.. more than most other nameable homo-sap afflictions. It's so like the Pope's Infallibility [in "faith and morals" - a rubric that can be spread as far as a rubber yardstick]. Near-Certainty on say, the physics of motion - I'll go with. Re homo-sap: nada, nil, Zippo. We don't know Shit about even our bodies, let alone mind and especially emotion. And about the interactions of these three concepts -?- Hah!

Perhaps my sample of One 'Good Astrologer' (actually two, but unimportant) is an aberration - and his was (merely) a quite superior intuition. Yet he did his calculations before suggesting anything, and was notably addicted to eschewing normal daily homo-say lying. So no - I am not Certain about Bennett, either. But if his use of Astrology as a model was essential to the accuracy of his work: let there be More Astrologers like him!




Ashton
Founding Member and CIEIO, The Certainty Police
New Heh, that's cool!
Reminds me of "Roger Irrelevant - he's completely hatstand." from Viz magazine.
On and on and on and on,
and on and on and on goes John.
New The lobsters are coming!


Peter
[link|http://www.debian.org|Shill For Hire]
[link|http://www.kuro5hin.org|There is no K5 Cabal]
New Ah - replied in Other Plaice.
New Just so long as your ship doesn't flounder
New Demon Haunted World
Yes, [link|http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0345409469/qid=1020302187/sr=1-1/ref=sr_1_1/002-4009292-0411207|Demon Haunted World]

Perhaps the late Carl Sagan was correct?

Sorry I have no idea where the extra D came from, I have corrected it.

I am free now, to choose my own destiny.
Expand Edited by orion May 2, 2002, 02:31:56 PM EDT
New And perhaps not.
Science doesn't make a very good religion - and human personality is far too complex for.. neat scientific paradigms. (Of course, one has to try - that's what Academia is for!) But IMhO - the results thus far are about comparable to Ford trying to build a Ferrari. You get an Expensive Pinto.

There's lots to nitpick in Carl's little Opus. Some other time, perhaps.


Ashton

PS It's "Demon" - that word.
New Hmm... Does the name "GT 40" mean anything to you? :-)
New Umm.. Yes - but t'wasn't for The Masses
After all, Anyone can make something as well constructed as a Rolls, at Rolls prices.

(But the more closely I inspect the Acura ['Vigor' over here, maybe "CC-5?" in JDM versions elsewhere] - the more impressed I am with what QC really means: when it ain't just marketing BS) All body panels fit with unusually small spacing and - perfect alignment, including under-hood. I've rarely seen (never owned) any 'car' as evidently put together to Last. One example: the modified McPherson struts cum shock absorbers are designed for unlimited (er, life of car?) endurance.

And the several owners with near 400K km attest to their original ones still performing as at 30K. One guy has 300K *miles* on his. (Ditto - the often infamous FWD U-joints). I think I Like their engr. decision to keep the engine fore/aft (like the Saab was!) and not the usual transverse. Claim also is that - equal-length (L/R) driveshafts minimize torque steer: apparently so. This '94 car corners, stops, accelerates - well enough to eat for lunch some Popular '02 models ... Some say that the best built cars ever -- were the early '90s Japanese models assembled IN Japan. If this is an example, might be a grain of truth there. [/paeans]

And in a group of Vigor owners at Yahoo, where a few of these (mostly guys) used to work at Ford -- from engineering to production -- their habitual ref for "sloppy body panel fit" and for choices of the kinds of plastic trim as begins to look shabby after 3-5 years, etc. is *Ford*. [The Tempo being the Ugly Duckling for cheap laughs] One avers that this 'deterioration of appearance' is an actual M$-like Aim = how else to get you to think of replacing it a bit more often? (So why Would you get the Same, after early disappointment with its 'fading' -?- ask an addicted Windoze upgrader.)

Anyway - I acknowledge that the above is hardly a scientific unbiased survey of industry QC (!) so I'll add an equally unscientific factoid: once in a Ford dealership I perused an Escort on the floor. Stooped down by driver door and saw *RUST* on some frame rail or other - I forget now exactly Where I saw it). This: brand new!

But yeah - I never doubted that, hidden (and suppressed!) within all those MicroSloth Ford engineers.. is as much technical capability as in any army of paid pros,laboring under the Corporate yoke of: Cut the [=Our!] cost, make it look flashy.. but make sure they don't keep it Too Long...

Just as: scuttlebutt is that the "TL, CL" (later US Honda / Acura models) aren't as well done as their progenitor: the Vigor. And the exc. and remarkably trouble-free 5-cyl engine has by now been eliminated from TL option. Gotta have a Vee-6 or the sheep will be confused (seemingly a factor, along with lousy recession-timing -- for Vigor poor sales on '91 intro + the poor rear-seat leg room! I could care less about That..)

So it goes -


Ashton
OK I admit - it's fun having a new toy; especially when the closer I peer, the better it looks! Now.. with the ECU limiter disabled - will it make 143 mph? [cackle]
     Survey finds few in U.S. understand science - (drewk) - (25)
         There are lies, damned lies... - (inthane-chan)
         Horoscopes - (kmself) - (4)
             Read the right horoscopes. - (Brandioch)
             I've sometims had great fun... - (Meerkat) - (2)
                 Class experiment - (kmself) - (1)
                     Heh.. toy 'astrology' that - - (Ashton)
         'Astrology' chestnut____ again ?! - (Ashton) - (14)
             Mental crutches - (ben_tilly) - (1)
                 Perspicuity, then. - (Ashton)
             As long as the idiocy exists... it'll remain idiotic. - (CRConrad) - (11)
                 That reminds me of something amusing - (ben_tilly)
                 Your faith is in 'quantifiable' knowledge, apparently - (Ashton) - (1)
                     Astrology is bollocks. - (pwhysall)
                 Astrology=psychology, tools are different - (boxley) - (7)
                     We have a saying in Sweden: "Goddag, yxskaft". - (CRConrad) - (6)
                         in reference to astrology and your comments about blather - (boxley) - (1)
                             That's closer to my view of it.. - (Ashton)
                         Heh, that's cool! - (Meerkat) - (3)
                             The lobsters are coming! -NT - (pwhysall)
                             Ah - replied in Other Plaice. -NT - (CRConrad) - (1)
                                 Just so long as your ship doesn't flounder -NT - (Ashton)
         Demon Haunted World - (orion) - (3)
             And perhaps not. - (Ashton) - (2)
                 Hmm... Does the name "GT 40" mean anything to you? :-) -NT - (CRConrad) - (1)
                     Umm.. Yes - but t'wasn't for The Masses - (Ashton)

We've spent the past two years building up an immunity to Iocaine!
92 ms