Post #334,102
10/12/10 11:28:00 AM
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Move to strike as unresponsive.
Again, anecdotes aren't data.
From 2007 - http://www.calculate...cre-overview.html
Here is an overview of non-residential investment and commercial real estate (CRE) from our most recent newsletter.
Recently many companies have announced plans to cut capital spending in 2008. This probably means non-residential fixed investments will decline in 2008, as compared to 2007.
This decline in investment is an important indicator for the economy, since changes in fixed investment correlate very well with GDP. The first graph shows the change in real GDP and Private Fixed Investment over the preceding four quarters through Q1 2008.
[...]
The decline in non-residential investment was fairly rapid during the previous two recessions (a decline in non-residential investment is usually more rapid than a decline in residential investment). In fact most of the decline in investment happened within four quarters.
During the '90/'91 investment slowdown, non-residential investment declined 17% in total, and about 14% in the first year. For the '01 investment slowdown, non-residential investment declined almost 20%, and 19% in the first four quarters.
[...]
Funny, fear of taxes and "uncertainty" about regulations doesn't show up there. I wonder why that is....
You got a better cite that supports your claim and applies to a significant fraction of the economy as a whole?
Cheers,
Scott.
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Post #334,104
10/12/10 11:39:23 AM
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a blog from someone who lives off of BOA bonuses, sure
Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free American and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 55 years. meep
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Post #334,105
10/12/10 11:42:49 AM
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Heh.
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Post #334,114
10/12/10 2:13:59 PM
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Slump in commercial real estate post bubble. News @ 11!
Want to expand on why you think this is even remotely related to the subject?
Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
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Post #334,117
10/12/10 2:58:08 PM
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Here ya go.
http://www.bea.gov/n...PAhandbookch6.pdf (33 page .pdf)
Table 6.1ÂContent of Private Fixed Investment
Investment in structures by private business
-Includes construction of new nonresidential and residential buildings.
-Includes improvements (additions, alterations, and major structural replacements) to nonresidential and residential buildings.
-Includes certain types of equipment (such as plumbing and heating systems and elevators) that are considered an integral part of the structure.
-Includes nonbuilding construction (such as pipelines, railroad tracks, power lines and plants, and dams and levees).
-Includes mobile structures (such as office trailers at construction sites and temporary trailer classrooms) and manufactured homes.
-Includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling and exploration, including Âdry holes.Â
-Includes digging and shoring of mines.
-Includes brokers commissions on sales of new and existing structures.
-Includes net purchases (purchases less sales) of existing structures from governments.
-Excludes maintenance and repair of nonresidential and residential buildings.
-Excludes demolition costs not related to the construction of new structures.
IOW, Private Non-residential Fixed Investment includes CRE. CRE is a large component of PNFI. I would have thought you would have known that.
HTH.
Cheers,
Scott.
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Post #334,119
10/12/10 3:13:43 PM
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What are you babbling about now?
Did I not call out CRE? Same as your current favorite blogger?
Aside from that...not certain what you are on about here.
Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
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Post #334,121
10/12/10 3:22:00 PM
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Reread #37242
http://iwt.mikevital....iwt?postid=37242
The point is, nonresidential investment, including CRE fell. It fell due to lack of demand. Not "uncertainty" about regulation or taxes or "taking over 25% of the economy".
Try to keep up, Ok?
;-)
Cheers,
Scott.
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Post #334,122
10/12/10 3:23:35 PM
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you are claiming it is lack of demand
they are not investing due to uncertainty
Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free American and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 55 years. meep
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Post #334,123
10/12/10 3:35:42 PM
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Not me, businesses. Show me I'm wrong.
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