My yardstick: If we continue to hear about how "the U.S. did it" or the story drops off the front page, and nothing more is forthcoming from the military, then most likely we did miss.

That happens. This is war. It sucks, but this does happen in war.

On the other hand, if it was a 3rd party, I'm sure the military will be all over it denying that "we" did it. That seems to be the pattern so far.