Ha!

Post #334,099 by Another Scott 10/12/10 10:57:58 AM Reply	Ha! I guess that makes the US a banana republic since we're part of North America. :-/ You ever going to tell us how fear of taxes is more important than customers in determining business investment? http://iwt.mikevital....iwt?postid=36951 Cheers, Scott.
Post #334,100 by beepster 10/12/10 11:06:55 AM Reply	You ever going to read an entire post? Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
Post #334,102 by Another Scott 10/12/10 11:28:00 AM Reply	Move to strike as unresponsive. Again, anecdotes aren't data. From 2007 - http://www.calculate...cre-overview.html Here is an overview of non-residential investment and commercial real estate (CRE) from our most recent newsletter. Recently many companies have announced plans to cut capital spending in 2008. This probably means non-residential fixed investments will decline in 2008, as compared to 2007. This decline in investment is an important indicator for the economy, since changes in fixed investment correlate very well with GDP. The first graph shows the change in real GDP and Private Fixed Investment over the preceding four quarters through Q1 2008. [...] The decline in non-residential investment was fairly rapid during the previous two recessions (a decline in non-residential investment is usually more rapid than a decline in residential investment). In fact most of the decline in investment happened within four quarters. During the '90/'91 investment slowdown, non-residential investment declined 17% in total, and about 14% in the first year. For the '01 investment slowdown, non-residential investment declined almost 20%, and 19% in the first four quarters. [...] Funny, fear of taxes and "uncertainty" about regulations doesn't show up there. I wonder why that is.... You got a better cite that supports your claim and applies to a significant fraction of the economy as a whole? Cheers, Scott.
Post #334,104 by boxley 10/12/10 11:39:23 AM Reply	a blog from someone who lives off of BOA bonuses, sure Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free American and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 55 years. meep
Post #334,105 by Another Scott 10/12/10 11:42:49 AM Reply	Heh.
Post #334,114 by beepster 10/12/10 2:13:59 PM Reply	Slump in commercial real estate post bubble. News @ 11! Want to expand on why you think this is even remotely related to the subject? Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
Post #334,117 by Another Scott 10/12/10 2:58:08 PM Reply	Here ya go. http://www.bea.gov/n...PAhandbookch6.pdf (33 page .pdf) Table 6.1ÂContent of Private Fixed Investment Investment in structures by private business -Includes construction of new nonresidential and residential buildings. -Includes improvements (additions, alterations, and major structural replacements) to nonresidential and residential buildings. -Includes certain types of equipment (such as plumbing and heating systems and elevators) that are considered an integral part of the structure. -Includes nonbuilding construction (such as pipelines, railroad tracks, power lines and plants, and dams and levees). -Includes mobile structures (such as office trailers at construction sites and temporary trailer classrooms) and manufactured homes. -Includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling and exploration, including Âdry holes.Â -Includes digging and shoring of mines. -Includes brokersÂ commissions on sales of new and existing structures. -Includes net purchases (purchases less sales) of existing structures from governments. -Excludes maintenance and repair of nonresidential and residential buildings. -Excludes demolition costs not related to the construction of new structures. IOW, Private Non-residential Fixed Investment includes CRE. CRE is a large component of PNFI. I would have thought you would have known that. HTH. Cheers, Scott.
Post #334,119 by beepster 10/12/10 3:13:43 PM Reply	What are you babbling about now? Did I not call out CRE? Same as your current favorite blogger? Aside from that...not certain what you are on about here. Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
Post #334,121 by Another Scott 10/12/10 3:22:00 PM Reply	Reread #37242 http://iwt.mikevital....iwt?postid=37242 The point is, nonresidential investment, including CRE fell. It fell due to lack of demand. Not "uncertainty" about regulation or taxes or "taking over 25% of the economy". Try to keep up, Ok? ;-) Cheers, Scott.
Post #334,122 by boxley 10/12/10 3:23:35 PM Reply	you are claiming it is lack of demand they are not investing due to uncertainty Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free American and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 55 years. meep
Post #334,123 by Another Scott 10/12/10 3:35:42 PM Reply	Not me, businesses. Show me I'm wrong.
Post #334,107 by Another Scott 10/12/10 12:18:01 PM Reply	One more thing - NFIB http://www.calculate...imism-hiring.html Hiring plans have turned negative again. According to NFIB: "Over the next three months, eight percent plan to increase employment (unchanged), and 16 percent plan to reduce their workforce (up three points), yielding a seasonally adjusted net negative three percent of owners planning to create new jobs, down four points from August." And the third graph shows the percent of small businesses saying "poor sales" is their biggest problem. Usually small business owners complain about taxes and regulations (that usually means business is good!), but now their self reported biggest problem is lack of demand. QED. Here's the NFIB linky if you don't trust CR's summary - http://www.nfib.com/...-item?cmsid=54938 HTH. Cheers, Scott.
Post #334,115 by beepster 10/12/10 2:27:59 PM Reply	Hardly simply a chart representing anecdotal evidence, right? Survey? Additionally, nothing about what the other questions were? Was there another spike related to "health care costs"? After all, the NFIB was rabidly opposed to health care reform. Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
Post #334,116 by beepster 10/12/10 2:39:57 PM Reply	I keep finding guys on the K bros payroll http://imarketnews.com/node/20440 This guy must be on the take too. Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are.
Post #334,118 by Another Scott 10/12/10 3:00:29 PM Reply	More words, please.
Post #334,120 by beepster 10/12/10 3:15:16 PM 10/12/10 3:17:57 PM Reply	sorry mixing my references...this guy is an anecdote...not a k brother clone. my bad Sure, understanding today's complex world of the future is a little like having bees live in your head. But...there they are. Edited by beepster Oct. 12, 2010, 03:17:57 PM EDT Expand All History

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