Carter lead Reagan in 1980 in the last poll as well.

Post #182,056 by mmoffitt 11/1/04 4:20:00 PM Reply	Carter lead Reagan in 1980 in the last poll as well. bcnu, Mikem "The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt." -Bertrand Russell
Post #182,059 by tuberculosis 11/1/04 4:24:57 PM Reply	Then there are the gamblers predicting Wictory [link\|http://news.com.com/The+bets+are+in--Bush+to+win/2100-1023_3-5432489.html?tag=nefd.pop\|http://news.com.com/...html?tag=nefd.pop] Although U.S. opinion polls are still finding it hard to separate President Bush from his Democratic challenger, Sen. John Kerry, customers of Betfair, an online betting exchange, have overwhelmingly backed the Republican candidate. --- They have Bush winning at 1 to 5. Or Kerry paying 2 to 1. "The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them." --Albert Einstein Step 1: THINK! Step 2: VOTE!
Post #182,066 by ben_tilly 11/1/04 4:35:52 PM 11/1/04 5:44:13 PM Reply	Oops, they are right ~~Take a look at [link\|http://www.betfair.com/betting/MarketView.do?mi=225691&origin=LHM\|http://www.betfair.c...225691&origin=LHM] and watch - the figures are now (1:30 PST) pretty even.~~ I didn't read closely enough. The odds that they give for Kerry are 2.3, meaning that if you put $1 down on Kerry winning, and he does, you will get $2.3. That corresponds to a market which thinks that Kerry's odds of winning are about 43.5%. I believe that his odds are much better than that, and would have put money down on the proposition, but as an American I cannot bet on that site. If anyone outside the US is willing to create an account and place a bet backing Kerry to the tune of $100 (US) for me, I'll be willing to pay you for it. But if you do, I'd suggest posting here first. I wouldn't want 3 people to place bets for $100 each when I'm only going to send money to one of them... Cheers, Ben I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother) Edited by ben_tilly Nov. 1, 2004, 05:44:13 PM EST Expand All History
Post #182,060 by ben_tilly 11/1/04 4:26:01 PM Reply	Remember that undecideds tend to break for the challenger In 1980 that worked against the Democrats. This year that works for the Democrats. Cheers, Ben I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother)
Post #182,072 by mmoffitt 11/1/04 5:05:00 PM Reply	Understood. Just emphasizing a point about "polls". ;0) bcnu, Mikem "The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt." -Bertrand Russell

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