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New It moves around, of course.
I just found NOAA.gov - Aurora 30 minute forecast. Play the video for your hemisphere, then drag the slider around and watch the time stamp. The intensity obviously varies a lot.

I wasn't able to quickly find models and predictions for earlier in the weekend.

(It's been cloudy here in NoVA, so I haven't tried to see anything out there.)

Cheers,
Scott.
New Interesting
So tomorrow night, just as it's getting dark, it dips for an hour or so from the north. Or at least that's what it looks like to me.
     Do you believe me or your lying eyes: environmental edition - (crazy) - (10)
         iPhones saw it better than me - (drook) - (1)
             My Pixel phone can't see anything -NT - (crazy)
         I’m far-er north-er, and it was pretty decent - (pwhysall) - (1)
             Nope, didn't see a thing. :-( - (CRConrad)
         No lying, just better light detection than your retinas. - (malraux) - (4)
             I am in the cornerstone of a edge of the earth no light pollution environment. - (crazy) - (3)
                 i am literally ~400 miles north of you -NT - (pwhysall)
                 It moves around, of course. - (Another Scott) - (1)
                     Interesting - (crazy)
         We had a week of rain. - (static)

I'm away from zIWT for a day or two and look what happens! That'll learn me.
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