if you notice the survival rate is going up. Means it is evolving in a few years survival rate may jump to 70%. It appears that aggressive rehydration helps a lot.
actually that is a good thing
if you notice the survival rate is going up. Means it is evolving in a few years survival rate may jump to 70%. It appears that aggressive rehydration helps a lot. Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free American and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 59 years. meep |
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Last I saw, the mortality rate was 70% not 50%...
E.g. LA Times In the WHO paper, researchers presented their first, full statistical snapshot of the epidemic, which gained a foothold in December of last year and has fallen hardest on Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone. NEJM: The current outbreak has caused more cases and deaths than any previous EVD epidemic (see graph in the Supplementary Appendix). It appears to have started in the Guéckédou district of Guinea. The first case was recorded in December 2013, but that case was probably not the first in this outbreak.1,2 Until the end of April 2014, most cases were reported from Guinea, with a small number in bordering parts of Liberia and Sierra Leone (see graph). In late April, a dip in reported cases in Guinea gave hope that the epidemic was beginning to subside and could be confined largely to one country. That hope was abandoned as the number of confirmed cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone rose sharply during May. By August 16, the cumulative number of confirmed, probable, and suspected cases of EVD in the three worst-affected countries plus Nigeria was 2240, with 1229 deaths. The ratio of deaths to cases implies a case fatality rate of 55%. However, this estimate is approximate, since some cases and deaths (perhaps many) have been missed; in particular, contact tracing in Guinea during the initial period was far from adequate, allowing further opportunities for transmission. Moreover, the fatality rate varies markedly among geographic sites, ranging from 30 to 90% in this epidemic. Emphasis added. They know how to reduce the mortality rate (isolation, careful handling of patients with good PPE, keeping people hydrated, etc.), but those things can only be done with great difficulty in poor countries. It's a bad situation, but it seems like the world is finally paying attention. Cheers, Scott. |