A single launch isn't going to start WWIII

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Post #325,176 by jay 4/25/10 12:18:52 PM Reply	A single launch isn't going to start WWIII Long range tracking systems are good enough now that Russia, China or other 1st world nation would have a good idea what the target is shortly after launch, and nobody is going to start WWIII over a single launch. I'm far more worried about the cost of such a system. A global ballistic or cruise missile would probably cost millions, if not tens of millions, per unit. We could easily end up with a system that we can't afford to actually use. Jay
Post #325,224 by jake123 4/26/10 10:30:15 AM Reply	If you're far more worried about the costs of running such a system than the downside from the worst case scenario, which is wholly dependent on people never making a mistake, then your skillz at cost/benefit analysis are seriously deficient. One costs a lot of money, the other destroys civilization, and maybe drives humans to extinction. There's a big big difference between those two things.
Post #325,228 by jay 4/26/10 10:41:53 AM Reply	Not exactly I fully realize that there is a chance of WWIII starting due to error. Rather, I think the chance of a single missile launch starting WWIII is smaller then the default chance of it starting due to some random mistake. Jay

NY Times on "Prompt Global Strike" - (Another Scott) - (4) - April 22, 2010, 08:49:23 PM EDT

One very good reason why it's not a good idea. - (Another Scott) - (3) - April 23, 2010, 08:27:17 PM EDT

A single launch isn't going to start WWIII - (jay) - (2) - April 25, 2010, 12:18:52 PM EDT

If you're far more worried about the costs of running such a - (jake123) - (1) - April 26, 2010, 10:30:15 AM EDT

Not exactly - (jay) - April 26, 2010, 10:41:53 AM EDT

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