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New I'm kind of surprised
that no-one's commented on the Indian Ocean disaster.

Overall, looks pretty horrible.
--\n-------------------------------------------------------------------\n* Jack Troughton                            jake at consultron.ca *\n* [link|http://consultron.ca|http://consultron.ca]                   [link|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca] *\n* Kingston Ontario Canada               [link|news://news.consultron.ca|news://news.consultron.ca] *\n-------------------------------------------------------------------
New What can be said? :-<
New Exactly.
New Still stunned
-----------------------------------------
There is a time when the operation of the machine becomes so odious, makes you so sick at heart that you can't take part; you can't even tacitly take part, and you've got to put your bodies upon the gears and upon the wheels, upon the levers, upon all the apparatus and you've got to make it stop. And you've got to indicate to the people who run it, to the people who own it, that unless you're free, the machines will be prevented from working at all

Mario Savio
New I wondered too
But I didn't comment because earthquakes are something thing I try not to discuss... too scary.

But I agree, it was terrible and I am praying for all of the victims and survivors.

Brenda




"The people of the world having once been deceived, suspect deceit in truth itself." -- Hitopadesa 600?-1100? AD, Sanskrit Fable From Panchatantr
New Earthquakes scary?
Our own East Coast is supposed to be wiped out by an underwater mudslide on some island the name of which I've forgotten. Earthquakes kill a few people. Waves kill everyone.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]
New You'd love the Puget Sound...
Apparently the next big earthquake up here will turn the sound into some kind of reflection chamber, sending gigantic tidal waves north and south through the whole Puget Sound basin.
"Here at Ortillery Command we have at our disposal hundred megawatt laser beams, mach 20 titanium rods and guided thermonuclear bombs. Some people say we think that we're God. We're not God. We just borrowed his 'SMITE' button for our fire control system."
New It gets worse
There is an earthquake as big as the one that just hit sitting just off the coast.

[link|http://www.em.gov.bc.ca/Mining/Geolsurv/Surficial/quake/eq4.htm|http://www.em.gov.bc...ial/quake/eq4.htm]
[link|http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/seismo/hist/1700.htm|http://www.pgc.nrcan...smo/hist/1700.htm]
[link|http://www.pnsn.org/HAZARDS/CASCADIA/cascadia_event.html|http://www.pnsn.org/...scadia_event.html]

However our current best guess is that the next one is 100-300 years off.

Cheers,
Ben
I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother)
New Bring it on
I'm ready.



"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them."     --Albert Einstein

"This is still a dangerous world. It's a world of madmen and uncertainty and potential mental losses."     --George W. Bush
New Riiiiiight.
Indonesia, India, and Sri Lanka spend $0 and lose 50,000 plus.

Therefore, western Washington should spend billions to prevent a recurrence of the 2 deaths we had from the last "killer tsunami". I'm all for paranoia, but not the anthropomorphization of nature.
New Hey, did I say spend $$$?
Just mentioning the possibility. Quite frankly, the next big one over here in Seattle == lotsa dead people. The only part up for argument is how those people are going to die.

Yeah, I love living here. :P
"Here at Ortillery Command we have at our disposal hundred megawatt laser beams, mach 20 titanium rods and guided thermonuclear bombs. Some people say we think that we're God. We're not God. We just borrowed his 'SMITE' button for our fire control system."
New Sorry, but that argument is stupid
Indonesia, India, and Sri Lanka saw repeated tsunamis in the Pacific Ocean and didn't pay attention to the fact that it could happen there. So they suffered major loss of life.

What you're saying is for us to notice, "Hey, that kind of disaster sucks, it can happen here, let's do something about it!" is trivializing what happened there.

That's stupid.

This is not a mountains to molehills comparison. The earthquake waiting off of the coast in the Pacific Northwest is as big or bigger than the one that let go in Thailand. When it last let go in 1700 there was catastrophic (according to the size of populations around then) loss of life both locally and internationally. (Japan in particular has excellent records of the disaster.) There are a lot more people present now, and the expected loss of life is correspondingly higher the next time round. If the expected loss of life is lower than with this tsunami, that is because population densities are not as high as in places like Sri Lanka.

You appear to be saying that we shouldn't try to do anything about this. I'm not entirely sure what your reasoning is. I'm not entirely sure that you have any real reasoning for that.

Regards,
Ben
I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother)
New For reference
when the 1700 earthquake was analyzed, based both on Japanese records and physical evidence on the west coast of Canada, they estimate that the size of the tsunami was well over 10m when it came ashore in BC.

Victoria would probably pretty much disappear.
--\n-------------------------------------------------------------------\n* Jack Troughton                            jake at consultron.ca *\n* [link|http://consultron.ca|http://consultron.ca]                   [link|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca] *\n* Kingston Ontario Canada               [link|news://news.consultron.ca|news://news.consultron.ca] *\n-------------------------------------------------------------------
New La Palma
[link|http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,3604,1279710,00.html|http://www.guardian....4,1279710,00.html]


Peter
[link|http://www.ubuntulinux.org|Ubuntu Linux]
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New Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma
[link|http://www.huttoncommentaries.com/ECNews/GntWavesHitAtlantic.html|Here]:

Dr Simon Day, of the Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre at University College London, UK, believes one flank of the Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma, in the Canaries archipelago, is unstable and could plunge into the ocean.

Swiss researchers who have modelled the landslide say half a trillion tonnes of rock falling into the water all at once would create a wave 650 metres high (2,130 feet) that would spread out and travel across the Atlantic at high speed.

The wall of water would weaken as it crossed the ocean, but would still be 40-50 metres (130-160 feet) high by the time it hit land. The surge would create havoc in North America as much as 20 kilometre (12 miles) inland.

[...]

The largest wave in recorded history, witnessed in Alaska in 1958, was caused by the collapse of a towering cliff at Letuya Bay. The resulting wave was higher than any skyscraper on Earth and gouged out soil and trees to a height of 500 metres (1,640) feet) above sea level.

[...]


That's a big wave.

Of course, the East Coast is also at risk from tsunamis from [link|http://www.manythings.org/voa/00/000602er_t.htm|underwater landslides] caused by huge amounts of methane [link|http://marine.usgs.gov/fact-sheets/gas-hydrates/title.html|gas hydrates]....

Cheers,
Scott.
New Two guys rode that wave
A father and son were in a fishing boar in Letuya Bay. They heard the noise and looked to the head of the bay. When they saw the wave, they said their goodbyes to each other then grabbed the rails. Their boat rose like a cork on the sea, snapped the anchor chain like a thread, and topped the crest. Then they settled back down behind the wave and watched it go out to sea.

Not something most people would do out purpose, but what a thing to have experienced.
===

Purveyor of Doc Hope's [link|http://DocHope.com|fresh-baked dog biscuits and pet treats].
[link|http://DocHope.com|http://DocHope.com]
New Why they are scary
I'm gonna say this once to explain. They are scarier to me than any other disaster or weather phenomenon because there is nowhere to hide or get away to not feel the effect.

Brenda



"The people of the world having once been deceived, suspect deceit in truth itself." -- Hitopadesa 600?-1100? AD, Sanskrit Fable From Panchatantr
New Ah I see.. sorta like the Bush Admin, then.
New La Palma
One of the Canary islands off the African coast. There is a north-south fault line straight through the island. The western half can let go at any (geological) minute.
New Nothing to say...
A guy at work is from the parts of India that got hit the worst.His family, being a relatively well-off, had house in the hills. The people who suffered the most are the poor who could not afford a decent place. As usual, I guess :(
--


Q. I think I need to see a specialist, but my doctor insists he can handle my problem. Can a general practitioner really perform a heart transplant right in his/her office?
A. Hard to say, but considering that all you're risking is the $20 co-payment, there's no harm in giving it a shot.

New Horrible. Didn't think anything else needed saying.
We'll be talking more about it during/after relief efforts, I'm sure.
[link|http://forfree.sytes.net|
]
Imric's Tips for Living
  • Paranoia Is a Survival Trait
  • Pessimists are never disappointed - but sometimes, if they are very lucky, they can be pleasantly surprised...
  • Even though everyone is out to get you, it doesn't matter unless you let them win.


Nothing is as simple as it seems in the beginning,
As hopeless as it seems in the middle,
Or as finished as it seems in the end.
 
 
New Well, not much to say
[link|http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/asiapcf/12/28/powell.aid/index.html|CNN]
The United Nations' emergency relief coordinator said Tuesday that the international response to the tsunami catastrophe in southern Asia has been "very generous" despite earlier comments in which he called some nations "stingy."

"The international assistance that has come and been pledged from the United States, from Europe and from countries in the region has also been very generous," Jan Egeland said in brief remarks at the world body's headquarters.

"I have been misinterpreted when I yesterday said that my belief that rich countries in general can be more generous. This has nothing to do with any particular country or the response to this emergency. We're in early days and the response has so far been overwhelmingly positive," he added.

Jan may be publicly reversing course, but that is only after the US more then doubled it's promise. At $35 million, it's still short of what we spend in Iraq every day though.

Other then the political game over countries being stingy, there isn't much to say. This is a huge disaster, one where the lose of life will probably top 50,000 from the direct impact and possibly as much again from the indirect effects of the devastation in the region.

Jay
New 60K dead now.
Beyond words.


Peter
[link|http://www.ubuntulinux.org|Ubuntu Linux]
[link|http://www.kuro5hin.org|There is no K5 Cabal]
[link|http://guildenstern.dyndns.org|Home]
Use P2P for legitimate purposes!
New And counting.
I bet it will go past 100K when all the remote, smaller, non-tourist areas get counted.

The other thing I have not heard is any damage to shipping. Surely some ships were surprised by the tsunami.
Alex

The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt. -- Bertrand Russell
New Shipping not affected
It was under deep water for the most part.
New At sea a tsunami is not a big deal
At see a tsunami is a very long, very fast wave. Think 100km long, moving at 700 km/hour. This is long enough that it is governed by the physics of shallow waves even in deep ocean.

So there is a lot of energy, but it is distributed over the entire depth of the ocean and won't really be noticed by ships on the surface.

As the wave approaches land, the energy doesn't diminish, but it compresses. What had been a little wave when that energy is distributed over a column of water 5 km deep is not so little when it is distributed over 100m. As it approaches shore the wave becomes slower and higher (still the same energy, just distributed differently).

When it hits land, the first visible effect is that all of the water disappears (you're seeing the wave attempt to deliver a trough that is 10-30m deep, but there isn't that much water to go away), and then it comes back - fast. Because the land doesn't participate in the fluid motion properly, the water surges up on land and then doesn't drain out when the next one hits. And this continues for as many waves as there are in the wave train. (I think that this one had 2.)

Hopefully you never need to know this, but if you take away anything from this explanation, it should be that if you're standing near the ocean and the water disappears, run!!! If they'd known that, many of the victims of this tidal wave would have survived. Sure it hit a lot of coast. But anywhere that it hit, if you were a few blocks inland when the wave came, you survived.

Cheers,
Ben
I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother)
New Water disappearing
I learned of this when reading a historical account of the great Alaska quake. The harbor at Kodiak emptied suddenly leaving all the vessels aground. Then it all surged back - not really a wave, more like a tide that just kept rising.




"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them."     --Albert Einstein

"This is still a dangerous world. It's a world of madmen and uncertainty and potential mental losses."     --George W. Bush
New Hence the name "tidal wave"
It's a wave that looks like a tide, only faster and (typically) much bigger.

Cheers,
Ben
I have come to believe that idealism without discipline is a quick road to disaster, while discipline without idealism is pointless. -- Aaron Ward (my brother)
New There was an article last night on the news...
... that briefly explored the term "tidal wave" vs. "tsunami" and the impact on the world's collective consciousness now that we suddenly have so much footage of it happening.

They mentioned that "tidal wave" is inaccurate, though it is understandable how it came about ("earthquake wave" would be more accurate). It was then mentioned that English doesn't have a word for such a wave: but the Japanese do. It is interesting to note that *all* the newscasts here in Oz are calling it a "tsunami".

Wade.

Is it enough to love
Is it enough to breathe
Somebody rip my heart out
And leave me here to bleed
 
Is it enough to die
Somebody save my life
I'd rather be Anything but Ordinary
Please

-- "Anything but Ordinary" by Avril Lavigne.

New Yep - as I like to point out
there's a reason tsunami is a Japanese word.



"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them."     --Albert Einstein

"This is still a dangerous world. It's a world of madmen and uncertainty and potential mental losses."     --George W. Bush
New was explaining that to people at work
they saw a few video clips and were surprised they didnt see a 300 ft wall of water. Also a note to run, if the sea is normally clear and you see a muddy churn incoming, run.
regards,
daemon
that way too many Iraqis conceived of free society as little more than a mosh pit with grenades. ANDISHEH NOURAEE
clearwater highschool marching band [link|http://www.chstornadoband.org/|http://www.chstornadoband.org/]
New Not to mention ...
As with Chernyoble, there were probably whole towns where most people didn't know anyone from outside the town. There will be no one to report them missing.
===

Purveyor of Doc Hope's [link|http://DocHope.com|fresh-baked dog biscuits and pet treats].
[link|http://DocHope.com|http://DocHope.com]
New Radio news at 3 PM today
puts the current number at 114K. And they're not done counting.

It's literally an event where the results are incomprehensible.
lincoln
"Windows XP has so many holes in its security that any reasonable user will conclude it was designed by the same German officer who created the prison compound in "Hogan's Heroes." - Andy Ihnatko, Chicago Sun-Times
[link|mailto:bconnors@ev1.net|contact me]
New As for the 'corporate' response...
Has anyone other than APple actually acknowledged the event has happened? Yesterday I had a quick look at Apple, Dell, Microsoft and Sony - Apple was the the only one of those with a message on their front page, and links to places where you could donate money.

Two out of three people wonder where the other one is.
New MoveOn.org has sent a note to all members
re personal contrib, lobbying the US Feds.. and not just waiting for Congress to stumble next into some committee-launch - to study the Problem.

'Course they aren't a Corporation - they be much larger, from one angle of view.

They also have some good ideas/minute: one is to use New Years parties for some collections - mentioning Oxfam, UNICEF, CARE, and the Red Cross/Red Crescent - for starters.







Maybe Billy will treble the US contribution.. this time, not in certificates for XP purchase. Maybe.
New The City of Sydney is doing its bit.
The 9pm firework display will start with a minute's silence, and aid agency charity collection points will be set up at the entrances to the main fireworks-viewing areas (eg Opera House forecourt, Circular Quay and so on).

Only eight hours of the year left...!
Two out of three people wonder where the other one is.
     I'm kind of surprised - (jake123) - (35)
         What can be said? :-< -NT - (Another Scott) - (1)
             Exactly. -NT - (inthane-chan)
         Still stunned -NT - (Silverlock)
         I wondered too - (Nightowl) - (14)
             Earthquakes scary? - (Andrew Grygus) - (13)
                 You'd love the Puget Sound... - (inthane-chan) - (6)
                     It gets worse - (ben_tilly)
                     Bring it on - (tuberculosis)
                     Riiiiiight. - (FuManChu) - (3)
                         Hey, did I say spend $$$? - (inthane-chan)
                         Sorry, but that argument is stupid - (ben_tilly) - (1)
                             For reference - (jake123)
                 La Palma - (pwhysall)
                 Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma - (Another Scott) - (1)
                     Two guys rode that wave - (drewk)
                 Why they are scary - (Nightowl) - (1)
                     Ah I see.. sorta like the Bush Admin, then. -NT - (Ashton)
                 La Palma - (scoenye)
         Nothing to say... - (Arkadiy)
         Horrible. Didn't think anything else needed saying. - (imric)
         Well, not much to say - (JayMehaffey)
         60K dead now. - (pwhysall) - (13)
             And counting. - (a6l6e6x) - (12)
                 Shipping not affected - (broomberg)
                 At sea a tsunami is not a big deal - (ben_tilly) - (5)
                     Water disappearing - (tuberculosis) - (3)
                         Hence the name "tidal wave" - (ben_tilly) - (2)
                             There was an article last night on the news... - (static) - (1)
                                 Yep - as I like to point out - (tuberculosis)
                     was explaining that to people at work - (daemon)
                 Not to mention ... - (drewk)
                 Radio news at 3 PM today - (lincoln) - (3)
                     As for the 'corporate' response... - (Meerkat) - (2)
                         MoveOn.org has sent a note to all members - (Ashton) - (1)
                             The City of Sydney is doing its bit. - (Meerkat)

4 out of 5 of you would be spending most of your time in night court.
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