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New Conclusion...?
As for the specific Longhorn junk. Indigo (SOAP) is a mess of a protocol (a kludge all the way down). WinFS is the Registry carried to it's logical conclusion (and totally fuxed). Avalon is only interesting as a mutation of Java that tries to get a Windows lockin by building a higher performance GUI.


You say that as if it meant Avalon won't become the dominant development model. History implies otherwise...messy protocols, fuxored OS subsystems, and constant API mutation are the only way to continue to ride on the coattails of that same Windows lockin. ISV PHBs everywhere will be trampling each other to get Longhorn and Avalon; it's the only way they can continue to make money without having to think or take risks.
New Not saying it won't...
...but just saying that it's nothing new. If you look at the efforts, you can easily see who the enemy is:
messy protocols (Indigo)
Enemy: Linux, BSD* and any other non-Windows server used for web services.
fuxored OS subsystems (WinFS)
Enemy: Samba.
Constant API mutation (Avalon)
Enemy: Java.
New Interesting to see them try that.
I recall the business interest in XP was lukewarm at very best. I would surmise that most of the reason XP is on any corporation PC is because that what the laptop came with. Even I was surprised by the fact that where I currently work the standard desktop build is NT4!

Microsoft is going to find it tough to push corps to Longhorn et al. And those that do will be spending a fortune to do it.

Wade.

Is it enough to love
Is it enough to breathe
Somebody rip my heart out
And leave me here to bleed
 
Is it enough to die
Somebody save my life
I'd rather be Anything but Ordinary
Please

-- "Anything but Ordinary" by Avril Lavigne.

New No they won't
Large early adopters get sweetheart deals and good support to manufacture case studies. Once the case studies are published, MS can start unveiling the real price.
===

Implicitly condoning stupidity since 2001.
     The future of HTML forms processing? - (ChrisR) - (30)
         I highly doubt it; no channel for it without IE buy-in -NT - (FuManChu) - (7)
             Or an IE plugin to handle them. -NT - (admin) - (5)
                 Why not use Java at that point? -NT - (altmann) - (3)
                     Re: Why not use Java at that point? - (admin) - (2)
                         Can plugins do that? - (altmann) - (1)
                             Dunno. - (admin)
                 Another possible avenue... - (ChrisR)
             It's definitely an uphill battle... - (ChrisR)
         A few good ideas, a lot of crud - (JayMehaffey)
         I agree with Udell. - (static)
         Interview with Mozilla's chief architect - (ChrisR) - (10)
             Idiocy embodied - (deSitter) - (9)
                 Mozilla is a pretty major accomplishment - (ChrisR) - (7)
                     Re: Mozilla is a pretty major accomplishment - (deSitter) - (6)
                         zIWETHEY works pretty slick in FireFox - (ChrisR) - (4)
                             Re: zIWETHEY works pretty slick in FireFox - (deSitter) - (3)
                                 The sky is falling, we're all going to die, etc, etc. -NT - (Meerkat) - (2)
                                     No, computing sucks because it is mostly populated by fools -NT - (deSitter)
                                     <frazer>We're all DOOMED</frazer> -NT - (pwhysall)
                         Worse is Better is an ongoing process - (ben_tilly)
                 Feel Free To Fix it. - (pwhysall)
         Innovations in Internet Explorer? - (ChrisR) - (8)
             What's it been, 7 yrs? - and DisInfoWorld is still at it :-( - (CRConrad) - (7)
                 Without having read the whole article ... - (drewk)
                 Same ole IWE - (ChrisR) - (4)
                     Conclusion...? - (FuManChu) - (3)
                         Not saying it won't... - (ChrisR)
                         Interesting to see them try that. - (static) - (1)
                             No they won't - (drewk)
                 Huh, it would be nice - (jake123)

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