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New Interesting days ahead
Seems we may be in for some interesting days ahead.
Indeed. But I don't know that it's still way too long before the election rolls around for that flip to make a difference.

Couple of Random thoughts:

- Interesting though that Saddam is captured prior to the opening of the stock market after the first time it closes above the 10k mark.

- If I was of the conspiracy minded, I'd say that we'd probably be finding bin Laden somewhere in the August-to-October time frame, just in time to ensure another 4 years. But that's just a wild theory. Time will tell.

New What I'm curious about
What I'm curious about at this point is where and how are they going to try him? If they try him someplace where he can speak publicly he will probably bring up all sorts of embarrasing stuff. It will be hard to try him for using gas against his own citizens when he had the approval of the US to do so. But trying him in a secret court will produce less publicity and accusations that he isn't geting a fair trial. It wouldn't surprise me if they take the route of delaying his trial till after the next election, that way Bush can take credit for catching him without the risk of trying him.

The other thing I noticed is that he was captured in Tikrit. That town had been searched many times, and from the looks of things he has been there for quite some time.

Jay
New Re: What I'm curious about
They said something on 60 minutes about giving him to the Iraqi people to try him. Not sure how they are going about that part yet.

But in regards to him having been in Tikrit all along, that hiding place was pretty ingenious, and the guy on 60 minutes said there could have been hundreds of such hiding places all over the town.

Nightowl >8#
"The difference between being immature and child-like is that one is what you are, and one is what you choose to be."

Comment by Nightowl {O,O}
New What they might do
is make a trial of Iraqi and US Military people in the court. It will not be a US Court, it is an Iraqi matter. The Military won't want to give up control, so they will send their own people to oversee the trial. Besides they will say that the Iraqi government hasn't been set up yet and need the US Military to help them out.



"Lady I only speak two languages, English and Bad English!" - Corbin Dallas "The Fifth Element"

New Putting Saddam on trial ...
Here in Oz the political commentators have been going non-stop in the media on their interpretations of events.

Here is a summary of the more common opinions ...

1) Let the Iraqis try Saddam as if the US were to do so it would lose a lot of impact and may create a 'martyr' cult.

2) It is basically not realistic nor likely that US will hand Saddam over to the international court of justice (The Hague) due to some fundamental disagrements with it over their right to want try US citizens or military if serious charges are ever brought.

3) US can be expected to hang on to Saddam for quite a while until the powers that be know for sure that the right mechanisims are in place for a good trial (avoiding the possibility he gets 'sprung' or that Shia factions use his trial for political purposes.

4) The Australian PM and leader of the opposition have both stated publicly they would like to see him tried, the details of his oppression dragged out blow-by-blow, and the death penalty demanded (surprisingly aggressive stance)
5) That not everyone in Iraq was celebrating, the maing joy centered in the dominant Shia towns.

6) Local TV showed joyous Australian Iraqis dancing with joy.

7) Many academic commentators raised the spectre of more Irais joining the anti-invader opposition now that Saddam is gone from the scene (comments seem to be that the suicide bombers doing all the damage are not pro-Saddam forces).
Not many commentators here seem to believe that it was Saddam leading his loyalists that are willing to do suicide attacks against US occupiers.

8) In Australia generally there is a mood of satisfaction that Saddam has been caught & particulary how low he seems to have sunk.


From a personal point-of-view - just wish OBL was added to the list of those in custody.

Was also thinking today, that having just watched a TV series on Napoleon Bonaparte, it might be argued that the two have something in common (except Boney won more military victories in his early career, Saddam won more loot).

Doug M
New Interestingly...
... the only pictures/video of celebrating Iraqis that I've seen so far are the guys waving the communist flags. :-)
Regards,

-scott anderson

"Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson..."
New Re: Interestingly...

I saw a lot of the photos arkadiy posted here [link|http://healingiraq.blogspot.com/10dec.html|http://healingiraq.b...ot.com/10dec.html]

The whole lot looked like traditional left wing (communist) groups. In both Iran & Iraq they have been brutally supressed for years.

They would worry me. I am not convinced they are at heart, as peacful as they claim. I am sure there are many who are genuine but it is the 'cadres' that could
prove the long term worry. If true, one can only hope that their day has passed.

Cheers

Doug

New I'm sure the Bush administration was hoping . . .
. . Saddam would be killed in a fierce fire fight. The current situation is a little too complex for Shrub's comfort.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]
New Agreed.
Subtlety and nuance are not this "administration's" forte

(They're not even their mezzo piano)
jb4
"There are two ways for you to have lower Prescription-drug costs. One is you could hire Rush Limbaugh's housekeeper ... or you can elect me President."
John Kerry
New The US has nothing to try him.
He broke no US laws. Unless they find the body of an American citizen and can prove that Saddam killed/had him killed, how can they charge him with murder? No evidence of any "war crimes".

Only the fact that he wasn't liked by Shrub... And that's not a crime.
"All men are like grass, and all their glory is like the flowers of the field;
the grass withers and the flowers fall, but the word of the Lord stands forever."
1 Peter 1:24-25
New Gassing of the Kurds is enough
to get him before the Hague. Of course, we'll see if that happens... Saddam knows where too many bodies are buried for the likes of Rumsfeld, Bush Sr., et al, to be permitted to testify in a court that the US doesn't control.
--\n-------------------------------------------------------------------\n* Jack Troughton                            jake at consultron.ca *\n* [link|http://consultron.ca|http://consultron.ca]                   [link|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca|irc://irc.ecomstation.ca] *\n* Kingston Ontario Canada               [link|news://news.consultron.ca|news://news.consultron.ca] *\n-------------------------------------------------------------------
New Some questions there too.
Some have reported the gas and devices used were of a type posessed by Iran and not posessed by Iraq for the gassings that happened during the Iran/Iraq war. Nothing in this world of conflict is as clear cut as people would like to presume.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]
New We may have read the same lengthy report
on that question of gas origins (might even have a link) - written from Kurd perspective IIRC.

As to your last - Words to Live By.

A.
New Saddam gets asked about the Kurd gassing incident ....
The Iraq governing council was presented with an unrepentant Saddam. One member asked him about his involvement in the gassing of the Halabja Kurds.
He pointedly denied it.

nyway, the US has the so called perp in 'Chemical Ali' (Al Majid) in custody despite some reports he was killed in an air raid on his Basra home. One of today's paper lists him as killed but there are many more credible reports (google "Al Majid Captured"). He is the man supposed to have ordered two chemical attacks against the Kurds, hence his nickname Chemical Ali.

At the bottom of this post is a link to a very credible report that states (by a former senior CIA official who knew of the Hlabja incident at the time) that the gas used in the Halabja attack appeared t be the type only held by Iran (a blood agent) vesus the mustard gas held by Iraq & that Iran had mounted an attack through Halabja in the north to try and sieze control if Iraq's largest sources of water. Al Majid (Chemical Ali) was supposedly the commander sent into to block the Iranian attack. (see the added details at bottom).

It is so hard to know who did what because at the time Iraq & Iran were warring & each was being played off against the other. They both used gas against each other but the Iranian role in the Halabja battle never seems to get mentioned anymore.

I tend toward the view that because the Halabja incident occured during the bitterest fighting between Iran & Iraq, and because at different times each was nearly overwhelmed by the other, that they had begun to both use any means at their disposal to both attack and to blunt each other.

The *claim* that Al Majid merely gassed the Kurds solely because he felt nasty to them (kill em all, leave nothing alive) or that it just seemed like good fun, doesn't really wash allowing that Iran and Iraq were at each others throats at that instant, but anything is possible in times of war.

Doug Marker

#2 Some for and against links re who gassed Halabja ... I am particularly interested in the bottom link that either has to be refuted ot has to be accepted. The claimed author does not have the apparant bias that all the others seem to have.

***************************************************************************

SOME OF 'CLAIMS' FOR IRAQ HAVING GASSED HALABJA (also one that states Majid was captured alive)

[link|http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/majeed.htm|http://www.globalsec...d/iraq/majeed.htm]

[link|http://www.usis.it/file2000_03/alia/a0031711.htm|http://www.usis.it/f...alia/a0031711.htm]
>>>> EXTRACT
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
Office of the Spokesman
March 16, 2000

STATEMENT BY JAMES P. RUBIN, SPOKESMAN
<<<<

[link|http://mondediplo.com/1998/03/04iraqkn|http://mondediplo.com/1998/03/04iraqkn]
>>>>> EXTRACT >>>>>
Baghdad\ufffds refusal to allow UN experts to inspect the presidential sites on which chemical and biological weapons were allegedly hidden was taken to justify a new bombing campaign on Iraq last month. Times have changed. Ten years ago, the systematic gassing of the Kurdish population of northern Iraq had far less impact on America. Only six months after the slaughter at Halabja, the White House lent Saddam Hussein another billion dollars. And in 1991, at the end of the Gulf war, US troops stood idly by while Saddam\ufffds presidential guard ruthlessly suppressed the popular uprising by the Kurds for which the American president had himself called.
by Kendal Nezan
<<<<<

*******************************************************************

'CASE' AGAINST HALABJA BEING DELIBERATE IRAQ ATTACK AIMED AT KURDS

[link|http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article2098.htm|http://www.informati...o/article2098.htm]

>>>> EXTRACT >>>
But the truth is, all we know for certain is that Kurds were bombarded with poison gas that day at
Halabja. We cannot say with any certainty that Iraqi chemical weapons killed the Kurds. This is not
the only distortion in the Halabja story.

I am in a position to know because, as the Central Intelligence Agency's senior political analyst
on Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war, and as a professor at the Army War College from 1988 to 2000, I
was privy to much of the classified material that flowed through Washington having to do with the
Persian Gulf. In addition, I headed a 1991 Army investigation into how the Iraqis would fight a
war against the United States; the classified version of the report went into great detail on the
Halabja affair.

This much about the gassing at Halabja we undoubtedly know: it came about in the course of a battle
between Iraqis and Iranians. Iraq used chemical weapons to try to kill Iranians who had seized the
town, which is in northern Iraq not far from the Iranian border. The Kurdish civilians who died had
the misfortune to be caught up in that exchange. But they were not Iraq's main target.

And the story gets murkier: immediately after the battle the United States Defense Intelligence
Agency investigated and produced a classified report, which it circulated within the intelligence
community on a need-to-know basis. That study asserted that it was Iranian gas that killed the Kurds,
not Iraqi gas.
<<<<<<

#3
Comment from DSM ...

On this issue, it is hard to have it both ways, either the article immediately above can be debunked (the claimed author held a more than authorative position), or it has to be taken as a very accurate & authorative version.

The difficulty with the bulk of the accounts is that most come from sources that have had real 'axes to grind' with Iraq & Hussien & consequently their reports may be less credible unless the real sources for their information can be traced back to someone with the same authority as the CIA & military professor mentioned in the last item.

The Halabja incident may well rank with the Kuwait 'babies thrown from incubators' story.

We are merely the great unwashed trying to make sens of it all .....

Cheers

Doug
Expand Edited by dmarker Dec. 15, 2003, 09:48:27 PM EST
Expand Edited by dmarker Dec. 16, 2003, 05:44:17 AM EST
Expand Edited by dmarker Dec. 16, 2003, 05:47:48 AM EST
New The Hauge
if tried by them, they will only use evidence that went back a year, and no more. I heard that on the radio. All crimes older than that will not be tried.

Still there are plenty of Iraqi citizens that Saddam had executed because they were not for him, and also he had execution and rape and torture chambers. So those crimes are against the people of Iraq. There is also his skimming off the top of money meant for the poor and sick. Embessilement is also a crime. Suicide vests were found in a few locations, providing a connection between Saddam and terrorisim. Plus Saddam paid the families of suicide bombers to attack Israel, and Israel may want to try him too. Israel may go as far back as when Saddam was launching Scuds into Israel in the early 1990's. So there may be more than one trial for Saddam.



"Lady I only speak two languages, English and Bad English!" - Corbin Dallas "The Fifth Element"

New In fact, they went over that house a few times
and failed to find him. It was a very happy coincidence plus some very suspicious solder that led to the capture of Saddam. Somebody left a rug next to a lean-to.
--

"There's nothing more nervous than a million dollars. It does not speak French, it does not speak English, it does not speak German and it moves very fast."

-- Jean Chretien
New If you really want something curious...
ask what Presidential Candidate Clark will be doing this week.
     Saddam arrested? - (pwhysall) - (24)
         Do I see a Neocon-style deal? - (Ashton)
         Re: Saddam arrested? - The Australian newspaper report - (dmarker) - (17)
             Interesting days ahead - (ChrisR) - (16)
                 What I'm curious about - (JayMehaffey) - (14)
                     Re: What I'm curious about - (Nightowl)
                     What they might do - (orion)
                     Putting Saddam on trial ... - (dmarker) - (10)
                         Interestingly... - (admin) - (1)
                             Re: Interestingly... - (dmarker)
                         I'm sure the Bush administration was hoping . . . - (Andrew Grygus) - (1)
                             Agreed. - (jb4)
                         The US has nothing to try him. - (jbrabeck) - (4)
                             Gassing of the Kurds is enough - (jake123) - (3)
                                 Some questions there too. - (Andrew Grygus) - (2)
                                     We may have read the same lengthy report - (Ashton) - (1)
                                         Saddam gets asked about the Kurd gassing incident .... - (dmarker)
                         The Hauge - (orion)
                     In fact, they went over that house a few times - (Arkadiy)
                 If you really want something curious... - (Simon_Jester)
         Yep - (deSitter)
         Iran stuck their oar in - (boxley)
         Question. - (mmoffitt) - (2)
             Re: Question. :-) :-) -NT - (dmarker)
             Keep in mind ... - (drewk)

Gloat.
71 ms