We've really reached a saturation point?
I think we have, the economic growth of the late 1990's allowed us to collectively purchase Internet service and cell phones.
However, with the recent declines in the early 2000's, many people are deciding between cell phone and home phone.
I tried the PDA craze by buying a used Palm Pilot on the cheap (about $35 for everything) and quickly realized that I simply don't have the patience to scribble everything in with the darned stylus. So, I'm not buying into PDAs. With the recent PDA sales declines, I think most people agree with me.
Now, the question comes out, are laptops replacing desktops now? I think the answer is yes. In a tight economy, we're making either / or (or possibly even neither decisions), so many things that even appear to be good ideas (like PDAs or wireless Internet) are not selling.
The bottom line, I really do think we're at a saturation point, or even at a negative satuation point where income is declining, so people might even be choosing between air conditioning and food. When the choice is A/C or Food, Internet Access comes from the library, for free.
I've actually thought about terminating my cell phone coverage, because my wife and I bought a plan that expensive, almost $90 a month with taxes. When I had a 1 hour commute each way, it made sense. Now with a 20-30 min commute, it doesn't.
If the economy remains tight, I think you'll see declining Internet Access, cell phone sales, PC sales, etc. for a time. If the economy doesn't improve, these luxuries will only be kept by the rich. If you can't feed and clothes your kids, do your really give a damn about Internet access?
Glen