Re: Not a surprise for those watching electoral-vote

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Post #181,999 by deSitter 11/1/04 1:01:11 PM Reply	Re: Not a surprise for those watching electoral-vote Don't pollers call mostly land lines? Cell phone people are (guessing big time) much more likely - say 60-40 - to vote for a progressive candidate. Any direct knowledge of methodology? -drl
Post #182,000 by pwhysall 11/1/04 1:03:49 PM Reply	An uninformed opinion I.E. mine. If you call mobile phones to contact your sample, you are automatically skewing your sample younger. This is OK, as long as you remember that younger people are typically very good at giving an opinion and somewhat less good at actually exercising that opinion at the ballot box. Peter [link\|http://www.debian.org\|Shill For Hire] [link\|http://www.kuro5hin.org\|There is no K5 Cabal] [link\|http://guildenstern.dyndns.org\|Home]
Post #182,002 by Another Scott 11/1/04 1:05:40 PM Reply	Yup. See #175649. Polling's a crapshoot this year.
Post #182,021 by Silverlock 11/1/04 2:06:49 PM Reply	Cell phone users- 57% Kerry, 27% Bush [link\|http://www.tmcnet.com/usubmit/2004/Nov/1089264.htm\|link] ----------------------------------------- How do you convince a Washington Journalist that you're not slapping him in the face? Tell him you're not.

Rasmussen (tiny) poll says late deciders breaking for Bush. - (Another Scott) - (11) - Nov. 1, 2004, 12:32:54 PM EST

Not a surprise for those watching electoral-vote - (ben_tilly) - (6) - Nov. 1, 2004, 12:58:52 PM EST

Re: Not a surprise for those watching electoral-vote - (deSitter) - (3) - Nov. 1, 2004, 01:01:11 PM EST

An uninformed opinion - (pwhysall) - Nov. 1, 2004, 01:03:49 PM EST

Yup. See #175649. Polling's a crapshoot this year. -NT - (Another Scott) - Nov. 1, 2004, 01:05:40 PM EST

Cell phone users- 57% Kerry, 27% Bush - (Silverlock) - Nov. 1, 2004, 02:06:49 PM EST

Bush is visiting 7 places today vs. typical 3 or 4. - (a6l6e6x) - (1) - Nov. 1, 2004, 01:34:37 PM EST

Make sure he waves good-bye to AF1... - (jb4) - Nov. 1, 2004, 01:48:47 PM EST

That's funny. electoral-vote.com has Kerry 298 Bush 231. - (mmoffitt) - (3) - Nov. 1, 2004, 02:01:37 PM EST

2 days ago Bush was ahead there -NT - (ben_tilly) - (1) - Nov. 1, 2004, 02:02:07 PM EST

Let's just hope he isn't two days FROM now. ;-) -NT - (mmoffitt) - Nov. 1, 2004, 03:16:25 PM EST

Their results bounce around a lot. -NT - (Another Scott) - Nov. 1, 2004, 02:04:00 PM EST

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