Riddle me this, Batman:
3 (new, but last yrs. model) e-Machines. Alleged latest drivers for same. Usual %(&$ Winmodems but..
The two 500 MHz P-IIIs - connect in seconds (after dialing, answer), and almost always at 48.66 (yes, set to read connect speed not port speed). Download confirms rate.
The 600 MHz (mine) with a different card, different driver - takes sometimes 40+ seconds to complete handshake for PW and ID - may connect at 28.8 (rarely), most often 37.33 - but if killed amidst first dialing, or on a second connect after boot:
may be 42K or 44K. File downloads generally suggest learning occurs (at higher connect speed than 28.8, anyway) and is ~ 48K mostly.
(I stopped worrying after I timed downloads) ie - maybe 'connect' is irrelevant: did you try just measuring best d/l speeds?
A.