I agree that some of the arguments put forward by Bush for acting against Iraq haven't been as convincing as they should be. But I believe it is just for us to demand that Saddam be disarmed now.
Will I change my view if, after Saddam is deposed, no evidence of WMDs or prohibited missiles, or ties to al Qaeda are found? I don't know. I find it inconceivable that the US could (at this time in history) mount such an operation based on a veneer of lies and convince 20+ other countries to go along. But I do try to keep an open mind. We'll have to see what the future holds.
As I mentioned before, I'm struck by the commonality of interests between Saddam and al Qaeda (both want the US out of the Middle East, among other things) and the timeline of al Qaeda's growth (after the 1991 war).
Consider Jim Hoagland's OpEd in the WashPost [link|http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A59646-2003Mar7.html|today]. Excerpts:
[Khalid Sheik Mohammed] knows the answer to these two central questions: How did al Qaeda, within two or three years, go from obscurity to becoming super-terrorists capable of blowing up U.S. embassies, warships and skyscrapers with astonishing precision? And what are the links between 9/11 and the bombing of the World Trade Center in 1993 by Ramzi Yousef, who authorities say is Mohammed's nephew?
The captured viper also knows the answer to another question that should not be rushed past just because it is obvious: Why did he choose to hide in Rawalpindi, which is the headquarters of Pakistan's military and Inter-Service Intelligence agency, and which is immediately adjacent to the Pakistani diplomatic capital of Islamabad, where Ramzi Yousef was captured in 1995?
o o o
Why two men from the remote and ungoverned Pakistani province of Baluchistan who grew up in Kuwait would devote their lives to killing Americans is a mystery. How they acquired prodigious masterminding skills and, at least in Mohammed's case, rabid Islamic fanaticism after lives of intellectual mediocrity and pleasure-seeking, also is a mystery. So is their connection, if any, to al Qaeda at the time of the first World Trade Center bombing. So is their instinctive flight in extremis to the power centers of Pakistan.
Mohammed migrated from the identity of small-time freelance terrorist to the top ranks of bin Laden's ultra-secretive band not long after the 1993 bombing resulted in the breakup of Yousef's U.S. network. Could al Qaeda have been the target of a takeover operation by an intelligence service with good legend-manufacturing skills and a great, burning desire for revenge on the United States?
That is a question U.S. investigators should push more actively. In "Study of Revenge," author Laurie Mylroie sketches the strong ties that Iraq's intelligence services have developed in Pakistani Baluchistan. And the Iraqi Embassy in Islamabad has been publicly identified by Secretary of State Colin Powell as a center for contact with al Qaeda.
Why did the two master terrorists get chased to earth a handful of miles from that embassy? The answer to the 9/11 mysteries may be hiding in plain sight.
Yes, it may simply be searching for conspiracies that don't exist. But it gives me pause. It'll be interesting to see what, if anything, turns up after the shooting stops. And to see how the results in Iraq affect how the US and other nations react to North Korea.
My $0.02.
Cheers,
Scott.