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New Doesn't matter.
If HP went the Capellas route, and tried to be a Dell, they'd fail badly. Only Dell can be Dell - HP has far too many engineers to survive in that market. Building a solid reseller channel may keep their PC business alive, but they've been screwing that up badly too.

Cringly is wrong about resellers all being Chapter-11. Only those that depend on box sales are there. Those that sell PCs as part of their service offerings are doing fine.

The "Uniform Windows Experience" will insure the PC business never comes back strong, but HP may survive as a PC builder, along with Dell, IBM, "White Box" and I expect Microsoft (you didn't think XBox was going to be the end of it did you?).

"White Box" already has nearly half the market worldwide. IBM will keep making PCs as part of their comprehensive offerings. That's what they invented it for in the first place, so they've just returned to the original plan. Microsoft will probably build PCs to control entertainment delivery.

Dell, on the other hand, is having its own problems. It's seeing the same limits to growth Microsoft is seeing, and is branching out into all kinds of businesses it doesn't know a lot about.

Meanwhile, Dell's once legendary support is fading fast, probably for good. Businesses are simply canning Dell's warranty and calling in a local outfit for survice and repair - It costs a lot less than 6 hours on the phone without resolution.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]
New Re: Doesn't matter.
Microsoft and Dell are piggybacking ads during the NFL prime-time wildcard game tonight on ABC. For some reason, this seems significant.
-drl
New Dell has always sucked up to Microsoft and Intel . .
. . to make sure he got a good supply of the latest versions of everything before anyone else could get any at all.

On the other hand, Microsoft sees Dell as the major shipper of its only two profitable products (until Microsoft has its own branded PCs to sell).

The largest PC brand is "White Box", with nearly half the desktop market worldwide and a growing server share, but "White Box" brand is unrully, very difficult to negotiate with, doesn't pay for Superbowl advertising, and really would rather not ship Microsoft products at all if they didn't have to.

Yes, I expect Microsoft will have its own PC brand, targeted at the home market, for best control of content delivery and digital rights management. First XBox, then the "Home Gateway" server (shipping soon), next the PC. Dell will not be pleased.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]
     Cringely's 2003 Predictions. - (Another Scott) - (25)
         Re: Cringely's 2003 Predictions. - (deSitter) - (21)
             What are your recommendations for personal laser printers? -NT - (Brandioch) - (10)
                 Brother, Lexmark - (deSitter) - (9)
                     they are ALL canon print engines arnt they? -NT - (boxley) - (5)
                         Lexmark, I don't think so - (deSitter) - (4)
                             No - (Andrew Grygus) - (3)
                                 HP - (deSitter) - (2)
                                     HP-65 - (Ashton) - (1)
                                         Re: HP-65 - (deSitter)
                     We have a couple of those. Thanks. - (Brandioch) - (2)
                         Personally, - (deSitter)
                         Brother HL-1440 - (lincoln)
             Doesn't matter. - (Andrew Grygus) - (2)
                 Re: Doesn't matter. - (deSitter) - (1)
                     Dell has always sucked up to Microsoft and Intel . . - (Andrew Grygus)
             HP products are still good - (orion)
             Re: Cringely's 2003 Predictions - (slugbug) - (5)
                 I think that HP needs a change of CEO - (ben_tilly) - (4)
                     Complete Change of Attitude - (deSitter) - (3)
                         Sudden change of market conditions. - (Andrew Grygus) - (1)
                             That's fascinating. - (static)
                         Hewlett-Packard and Compaq needed the merger. - (Andrew Grygus)
         Re: Cringely's 2003 Predictions. - (JayMehaffey) - (1)
             Intel was a core founding financial backer of RedHat - (dmarker)
         Re: Cringely's 2003 Predictions. - (dmarker)

I think someone is doing some projecting here.
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