Nor did I suggest we do so. But your optimism appears misplaced. Having said this, I will feel immeasurably cheered if the coming years prove me wrong.
cordially,
cordially,
“We can’t give up”
Nor did I suggest we do so. But your optimism appears misplaced. Having said this, I will feel immeasurably cheered if the coming years prove me wrong. cordially, |
|
|
538 - Special Elections Since Trump
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-states-where-democrats-are-overperforming-most-and-least-in-special-elections/ - as of March. One pattern that should worry Republicans is that Democrats appear to be running farthest ahead of their presidential candidates in red states. The top nine states on the list all voted for Trump in 2016, while eight of the bottom 12 voted for Clinton. That suggests that Democrats are indeed doing better in the conservative areas where they need to make 2018 inroads.8 Specifically, special election results suggest that the white-working-class-heavy Midwest — which broke heavily for Trump in 2016 — may not be lost for Democrats after all. Democrats’ 26.2-point overperformance in Iowa, for instance, may help Democrats pick off two House seats they would probably need for the House majority. All the actual election results I've seen (as opposed to the recent opinion poll) thus far show this trend continuing. Will making it happen in November be a sure thing, or an easy thing? No. Am I often too optimistic? Yes. But I'm not as pessimistic as many here. YMMV. Cheers, Scott. |
Indictment or impeachment?
- (rcareaga)
- (55)
- May 22, 2018, 02:39:42 PM EDT
"The Constitution is not a suicide pact." - Justice Robert Jackson.
- (Another Scott)
- (12)
- May 22, 2018, 03:13:02 PM EDT
Might not be a suicide pact, but…
- (rcareaga)
- (11)
- May 22, 2018, 06:14:04 PM EDT
Well, you're right about that
- (dmcarls)
- (10)
- May 22, 2018, 07:26:15 PM EDT
I take the argument seriously
- (rcareaga)
- (9)
- May 22, 2018, 08:16:33 PM EDT
I actually think you might take it seriously
- (boxley)
- (8)
- May 22, 2018, 09:52:32 PM EDT
Who the fuck are you, and what have you done w/boxley??
-NT
- (rcareaga)
- (1)
- May 22, 2018, 10:08:01 PM EDT
Indeed The Box wears multi-coloured threads, but do we not mainly pine for
- (Ashton)
- May 22, 2018, 11:14:46 PM EDT
Nit
- (drook)
- (5)
- May 22, 2018, 10:32:54 PM EDT
Thanks for stating that Obvious-ity which moi hadn't copped-to. Either. {sigh}
-NT
- (Ashton)
- May 22, 2018, 11:19:42 PM EDT
yes
- (boxley)
- (3)
- May 22, 2018, 11:52:49 PM EDT
Wrong question
- (crazy)
- (2)
- May 25, 2018, 09:01:01 AM EDT
both of the users pres and sec state were specifically told to check that and why
-NT
- (boxley)
- (1)
- May 25, 2018, 07:06:16 PM EDT
Do either have the attention span of a may fly?
-NT
- (hnick)
- May 26, 2018, 09:36:28 AM EDT
All of this is entertaining. But it leaves the real problem unaddressed.
- (mmoffitt)
- (41)
- May 23, 2018, 11:51:54 AM EDT
problems is problems
- (rcareaga)
- (40)
- May 23, 2018, 03:48:02 PM EDT
Comey and Vlad won't be working together in 2018, 2020, etc.
- (Another Scott)
- (39)
- May 23, 2018, 03:53:50 PM EDT
“We can’t give up”
- (rcareaga)
- (1)
- May 23, 2018, 04:39:13 PM EDT
538 - Special Elections Since Trump
- (Another Scott)
- May 23, 2018, 08:52:30 PM EDT
Oh, wait
- (rcareaga)
- May 23, 2018, 04:45:36 PM EDT
Once.. well-before-Recently: this sane analysis/prognosis might have flown, albeit "On
- (Ashton)
- May 23, 2018, 05:31:37 PM EDT
next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat
- (boxley)
- (34)
- May 23, 2018, 06:29:01 PM EDT
She's so unpopular that she got millions of votes more than he did...
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (20)
- May 23, 2018, 08:41:31 PM EDT
Think of how many the candidate would have gotten without the deep negatives
-NT
- (boxley)
- (19)
- May 23, 2018, 08:53:57 PM EDT
She's so horribly unpopular but she got more votes. Hmmm...
- (Another Scott)
- (18)
- May 23, 2018, 09:02:06 PM EDT
“Who was supposed to beat her in this alternative universe?”
- (rcareaga)
- (8)
- May 23, 2018, 10:13:27 PM EDT
Iknowright!!
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- May 23, 2018, 10:14:13 PM EDT
2020 how about someone not affiliated with Clinton cartel?
-NT
- (boxley)
- (6)
- May 23, 2018, 10:18:52 PM EDT
Name someone that you think would win. Quit blaming the Clintons.
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (5)
- May 24, 2018, 12:16:26 AM EDT
He's right to blame the Clintons.
- (mmoffitt)
- (4)
- May 25, 2018, 09:32:42 AM EDT
Blah, blah, blah.
- (Another Scott)
- (3)
- May 25, 2018, 10:30:10 AM EDT
He left 18 years ago, but his influence obviously didn't. What's "Charlotte Never" about?
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- (2)
- May 25, 2018, 01:03:50 PM EDT
Hillary's granddaughter. ;-)
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (1)
- May 25, 2018, 01:16:52 PM EDT
Ah.
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- May 25, 2018, 01:58:59 PM EDT
Uh, no.
- (mmoffitt)
- (8)
- May 24, 2018, 09:06:00 AM EDT
We've been through all that.
- (Another Scott)
- (7)
- May 24, 2018, 10:56:34 AM EDT
Potentially Uncle Joe
-NT
- (malraux)
- (5)
- May 24, 2018, 01:48:03 PM EDT
Ok. He's flamed out 2x before, but maybe he would do better this time.
- (Another Scott)
- (4)
- May 24, 2018, 02:02:39 PM EDT
If not for Neil. That'd come back and bite him in the arse again.
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- May 24, 2018, 02:34:44 PM EDT
He wasn't an 8-year VP before.
- (malraux)
- (2)
- May 24, 2018, 03:52:10 PM EDT
I think nother thinks that with Comey gone, russians warned
- (boxley)
- (1)
- May 24, 2018, 06:49:36 PM EDT
You're mistaken.
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- May 24, 2018, 08:29:17 PM EDT
Let me flip that back at you.
- (mmoffitt)
- May 24, 2018, 02:39:58 PM EDT
Re: next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat
- (rcareaga)
- (12)
- May 23, 2018, 10:16:43 PM EDT
not me, I didnt vote
- (boxley)
- (11)
- May 23, 2018, 10:36:59 PM EDT
NY and CA aren't "the country", but WY is?
-NT
- (drook)
- (1)
- May 23, 2018, 10:56:18 PM EDT
You want to expand on that statement?
-NT
- (boxley)
- May 23, 2018, 11:35:00 PM EDT
What about Michigan?
- (Another Scott)
- (8)
- May 24, 2018, 12:15:16 AM EDT
So then.. making a pretty good case for (..in the end)
- (Ashton)
- (7)
- May 24, 2018, 06:56:35 AM EDT
Voting things are being fixed in many areas. MI is spending money, etc.
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (6)
- May 24, 2018, 08:26:15 AM EDT
Will the next Democratic nominee actually go to Wisconsin? Just asking...
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- (5)
- May 24, 2018, 09:09:23 AM EDT
She got more votes than Feingold. Hmm....
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (4)
- May 24, 2018, 10:57:35 AM EDT
Yep, she brought down Feingold with her.
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- (3)
- May 24, 2018, 02:32:45 PM EDT
a > b [ magic happens here ] therefore a < b Is that it? ;-p
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- (2)
- May 24, 2018, 02:54:56 PM EDT
You think she was good for down-ticket candidates? </me falls over>
-NT
- (mmoffitt)
- (1)
- May 24, 2018, 03:40:25 PM EDT
If she was so unpopular, why did she get more votes? Maybe Feingold was *less* popular. HTH!
-NT
- (Another Scott)
- May 24, 2018, 03:44:09 PM EDT