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New problems is problems
Had I come across this for the first time today, it would set my bullshit detector faintly chiming, because it seems so suspiciously apropos, and because folks on both sides of the political abyss are given to practicing ventriloquism on the Founding Fathers. Nevertheless, Benjamin Franklin actually did write this:
I agree to this Constitution with all its faults, if they are such: because I think a General Government necessary for us, and there is no Form of Government but what may be a Blessing to the People if well-administered; and I believe farther that this is likely to be well administered for a Course of Years and can only end in Despotism as other Forms have done before it, when the People shall become so corrupted as to need Despotic Government, being incapable of any other.
Like you, mmoffitt, and notwithstanding my resolve after 1980 never to underestimate the fecklessness and depravity of the American electorate, I was blindsided in 2016. That year was, to adapt your own mathematical metaphor, an inflection point. From then and thence, we are fighting a rearguard action, and one that will more than likely end in the sacking of our “somewhat democratic plutocracy.” Your daughters will not enjoy the order that succeeds it.

So it is, very likely, a doomed rearguard action. It’s still a battle worth waging, unless you feel that it makes no difference whether the Visigoths fire the city, pull down the statues, ravish the virgins tomorrow rather than five or ten years hence (“Why should I step out of the way of that speeding car? After all, I’m going to die eventually”). Yeah, Rome is corrupt, but these are fucking barbarians at the city walls. We need to fight, rather than sneering that the plebes deserve what’s coming to them.

cordially,
New Comey and Vlad won't be working together in 2018, 2020, etc.
Yes, too many people voted for Trump. But he won because of Comey, and because of the mischief that Vlad was stirring up with his Troll Farm. And because of the voter suppression stuff going on in critical areas.

Those things will not be happening anywhere near as effectively this fall and going forward. Too many people - especially women - are pissed off and are fighting back.

The GOP is dying and they know it. That's why so many of them are quitting rather than running for re-election.

We can't give up and write the country off.

Cheers,
Scott.
New “We can’t give up”
Nor did I suggest we do so. But your optimism appears misplaced. Having said this, I will feel immeasurably cheered if the coming years prove me wrong.

cordially,
New 538 - Special Elections Since Trump
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-states-where-democrats-are-overperforming-most-and-least-in-special-elections/ - as of March.

One pattern that should worry Republicans is that Democrats appear to be running farthest ahead of their presidential candidates in red states. The top nine states on the list all voted for Trump in 2016, while eight of the bottom 12 voted for Clinton. That suggests that Democrats are indeed doing better in the conservative areas where they need to make 2018 inroads.8 Specifically, special election results suggest that the white-working-class-heavy Midwest — which broke heavily for Trump in 2016 — may not be lost for Democrats after all. Democrats’ 26.2-point overperformance in Iowa, for instance, may help Democrats pick off two House seats they would probably need for the House majority.

And, as I mentioned, Democrats will have to defend several Senate seats in ruby-red states to have any chance of winning that chamber; these numbers should give them hope. The 21-point Democratic overperformance in Missouri, for example, should bolster the confidence of Sen. Claire McCaskill, one of the Democrats’ most endangered Senate incumbents.


All the actual election results I've seen (as opposed to the recent opinion poll) thus far show this trend continuing.

Will making it happen in November be a sure thing, or an easy thing? No. Am I often too optimistic? Yes. But I'm not as pessimistic as many here.

YMMV.

Cheers,
Scott.
New Oh, wait
Vlad won’t be working? Fuck, I think that Vlad’s army of trolls and hackers will be getting time-and-a-half as they toil in social media and interfere with voter data (“Sorry, LaShawn, but you don’t appear to be registered in this precinct. Next!”).

cordially,
New Once.. well-before-Recently: this sane analysis/prognosis might have flown, albeit "On
a WIng and a Prayer" (WW-II meme-song re a plane "with one motor gone" etc.)
BUT..

1) My Gramma ... and all which her adolescent-presence came to Teach moi ..while growing from tykehood..

2) The intellectual, emotional and visceral fallout from having seen LIVE/on B&W Tee Vee: the odious presence, mien, Corruption!! of Tailgunner Joe McCarthy (did I mention LIVE?) as inculcated a life-long [Beware!] re. every similar occurrence since that seminal Day --> on through ~ 5 minutes ago:
[merely a trivial item, but See the implications]
whereby the NFL Suits have decided to levy a Fine on any "kneeling commie-pinko (oft-Black)" Bastards/the Civil Rights applying to these pwned-minions daily feeding their avarice.
By Corporate Fiat.

3) The ABJECT superstition-driven, cowardice-fueled Evidence of the Oh. Say. 'emptiness-within?' the psalm-singing torture-OK-ing, clinically-Iggerant vox populi ... (which even moi has encountered all-along these many decades) ...
...

*THESE ARE* the Muricans (plurality-at-Least) as, all-along THEY HAVE BEEN.

Just re-read that exact Ben Franklin quote: from a Sage worthy of that moniker.
Even were Mueller et al to succeed Wildly=="just Next" ( ..which IS all you "could say with any conviction"), here in Murican *Ignorance Rulez Permanently land. And an National Epiphany!??? ..large-enough to matter? shall remain just as probable as..


FLASH! API, CNN, FoxNews ... ...
"Herds of maddened-Unicorns have paraded down Pennsylvania Avenue.. massively crapping Gold Nuggets into the laps of their adoring mobs of followers"
(now fighting over the larger nuggets.)





er, QED: We HAVE met that Enemy: and it is The dis-U.S.A.
Never-mind All Those Wishes/as perpetually feed the Fantasy-world that is our Exceptionalism™®

..but I could be wrong.. ... ..for some next Unicorn-ish Prague-Spring (?)
Fool me once.. Twice.. ??? but. not. for. [n!]
New next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat
failing that someone who desnt have the negative numbers before they run in the high 30's low 40's nation wide
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
New She's so unpopular that she got millions of votes more than he did...
New Think of how many the candidate would have gotten without the deep negatives
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
New She's so horribly unpopular but she got more votes. Hmmm...
If someone was better, they should have stepped up and beat her in nomination contest. Maybe the fact that no Democrat could beat her says something about her actual popularity (as opposed to what WND and places like that want you to believe).

Bernie couldn't beat her (and wasn't (and isn't) a Democrat). MOM couldn't beat her.

Who was supposed to beat her in this alternative universe? Why didn't they run and do it?

Cheers,
Scott.
New “Who was supposed to beat her in this alternative universe?”
Over at the “Lawyers, Guns & Money” blog there’s a running joke to the effect that all the Democrats need to do to prevail in 2020 is to nominate Johnny Unbeatable. Simple, no? Wonder why they didn’t think of that earlier…

cordially,
New Iknowright!!
New 2020 how about someone not affiliated with Clinton cartel?
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
New Name someone that you think would win. Quit blaming the Clintons.
New He's right to blame the Clintons.
They destroyed the Democratic Party.

Remember this?
As recounted by Bob Woodward in The Agenda: Inside the Clinton White House, Clinton vented to his advisers: "'Where are all the Democrats?' Clinton bellowed. 'I hope you're all aware we're all Eisenhower Republicans,' he said, his voice dripping with sarcasm. 'We're all Eisenhower Republicans here, and we are fighting the Reagan Republicans. We stand for lower deficits and free trade and the bond market. Isn't that great?'"

http://www.newsweek.com/spending-freeze-obama-eisenhower-republican-71153

Yeah. It was fscking "great" all right. Great for Republicans everywhere. Not so great for Democrats, but they don't really count anyway because "where else are they going to go?" Right? Well they answered in 2016 and we all know how ugly that was. Fear not, though, because the same toadies in charge of the DNC are there still and will guarantee YAN Eisenhower Republican is the Democratic nominee. But, that too, is all right isn't it? Because PARTY!
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New Blah, blah, blah.
Woodward is a hack.

(Yes, I'm shooting the messenger.)

Clinton left office 18+ years ago.

The choice was between a mostly-sane party and an insane party, helped by the Russians, helped by a political hack at the FBI, helped by a press corps that was more interested in chasing clicks and eyeballs than informing the public, helped by people who insisted on believing the absolute worst lies about a decent person, helped by people who insisted on letting visions of some workers' led glorious revolution color their view of reality.

Hillary got millions more votes than her opponents. She wasn't the problem.

When's Bernie going to release his tax returns? Hmm? What does he have to hide anyway? Got any thoughts about that? ;-p

But we've been through all this before.

Do you have your "Charlotte Never!!" bumper sticker yet? Don't want to be the last one on the bandwagon - she's only got 32 years to go... :-/

Cheers,
Scott.
New He left 18 years ago, but his influence obviously didn't. What's "Charlotte Never" about?
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New Hillary's granddaughter. ;-)
New Ah.
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New Uh, no.
Maybe the fact that no Democrat could beat her says something about her actual popularity ...


Still haven't learned the lesson, I see. What it does say is that the DNC is incredibly adept at pre-selecting a Neo-Republican candidate. See, for example, what a party insider had to say about that.
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New We've been through all that.
She won the nominating contest. Get over it.

Name a Democrat who could have beaten her. Explain why that obviously better candidate decided not to run.

Re-litigating the fact that Democrats preferred an actual Democrat is pointless. What's the path forward, with an actual human being, not zombie Eugene McCarthy or whoever, for 2020?

Cheers,
Scott.
New Potentially Uncle Joe
Regards,
-scott
Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
New Ok. He's flamed out 2x before, but maybe he would do better this time.
Yeah, he would be a credible candidate. Potentially. :-)

Thanks.

Cheers,
Scott.
New If not for Neil. That'd come back and bite him in the arse again.
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New He wasn't an 8-year VP before.
But yeah, he wouldn't have been a shoo-in vs. Clinton in 2015/6.
Regards,
-scott
Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
Expand Edited by malraux May 24, 2018, 03:52:10 PM EDT
New I think nother thinks that with Comey gone, russians warned
SHE REALLY HAS A SHOT AT IT THIS TIME!!!

which is why in another thread about Mitch Landreau he immediately started bemoaning the last election instead of looking to the future with new faces and places
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
New You're mistaken.
New Let me flip that back at you.
She was such a popular Democrat that a non-Democrat damned near beat her in the Democratic Primary. How popular was she with Democrats again?

I'm telling you, if the DNC chooses another one like her, they'll LOSE again. You're not claiming you know more about the inner workings of that campaign than Donna Brazile are you? Or are you just excusing the unequal treatment by the Party because Bernie Wasn't Even a Democrat!!!111ONE!1?
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New Re: next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat
Translated: “Next time for president select a leader that Bill Oxley doesn’t hate.”
New not me, I didnt vote
It wasnt my candidate that couldnt beat a clown car full of ass clowns, it was yours and please stop waving the "but she got more votes" mantra. The country doesnt fucking care what CA or NY want which is why we have the electoral college.
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
Expand Edited by boxley May 23, 2018, 10:36:59 PM EDT
New NY and CA aren't "the country", but WY is?
--

Drew
New You want to expand on that statement?
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
New What about Michigan?
16 EC votes. Just a for-instance.

https://www.bridgemi.com/detroit-journalism-cooperative/botched-elections-missing-ballots-any-way-run-democracy

“This is the perfect storm of incompetence and timing,” said Mark Brewer, Miller’s attorney and a former Michigan Democratic Party chairman.

Wayne County Clerk Cathy Garrett declined comment, but longtime observers say the episode is the latest in a series of sloppy elections across Michigan that test voters’ faith, particularly in Wayne County.

In the county’s largest city, Detroit, ballot irregularities have prevented full recounts in three consecutive mayoral elections. City Clerk Janice Winfrey faces a tough re-election campaign in the Aug. 8 nonpartisan primary next week because of a host of snafus from broken machines and missing ballots to last November’s national embarrassment, when more than half of Detroit’s 662 precincts were ineligible to be recounted because the number of ballots in voting machines didn’t match those in poll books.


Trump won Michigan by 10,704 votes.

Yeah, it's all because Hillary was such a horrible candidate. It had nothing to do with voting systems that were unable to accurately count the votes of every American who wanted to vote. Voter ID laws, inadequate funding of modern voting systems, etc., etc., are pushed by Republicans (and Michigan's state government is run by Republicans) and keep Democrats from voting just coincidentally. Amirite?

(sigh)

Just about every close state you could pick had issues like these. Just a coincidence. Yup.

Cheers,
Scott.
New So then.. making a pretty good case for (..in the end)
Plain-old Murican Incompetence (oft by-design) er. trumping all the alleged transistorized machinations.

Just about every close state you could pick had issues like these. Just a coincidence. Yup.



Well ... ... so very much Is Broken (list-wide in the dis-US) ..that's no longer hyperbolic!
And THAT status pretty much bodes ill--no matter What is done next--in a mere decade or so,
never mind: Six Months.

Eh?
New Voting things are being fixed in many areas. MI is spending money, etc.
New Will the next Democratic nominee actually go to Wisconsin? Just asking...
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New She got more votes than Feingold. Hmm....
New Yep, she brought down Feingold with her.
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New a > b [ magic happens here ] therefore a < b Is that it? ;-p
New You think she was good for down-ticket candidates? </me falls over>
bcnu,
Mikem

It's mourning in America again.
New If she was so unpopular, why did she get more votes? Maybe Feingold was *less* popular. HTH!
     Indictment or impeachment? - (rcareaga) - (55)
         "The Constitution is not a suicide pact." - Justice Robert Jackson. - (Another Scott) - (12)
             Might not be a suicide pact, but… - (rcareaga) - (11)
                 Well, you're right about that - (dmcarls) - (10)
                     I take the argument seriously - (rcareaga) - (9)
                         I actually think you might take it seriously - (boxley) - (8)
                             Who the fuck are you, and what have you done w/boxley?? -NT - (rcareaga) - (1)
                                 Indeed The Box wears multi-coloured threads, but do we not mainly pine for - (Ashton)
                             Nit - (drook) - (5)
                                 Thanks for stating that Obvious-ity which moi hadn't copped-to. Either. {sigh} -NT - (Ashton)
                                 yes - (boxley) - (3)
                                     Wrong question - (crazy) - (2)
                                         both of the users pres and sec state were specifically told to check that and why -NT - (boxley) - (1)
                                             Do either have the attention span of a may fly? -NT - (hnick)
         All of this is entertaining. But it leaves the real problem unaddressed. - (mmoffitt) - (41)
             problems is problems - (rcareaga) - (40)
                 Comey and Vlad won't be working together in 2018, 2020, etc. - (Another Scott) - (39)
                     “We can’t give up” - (rcareaga) - (1)
                         538 - Special Elections Since Trump - (Another Scott)
                     Oh, wait - (rcareaga)
                     Once.. well-before-Recently: this sane analysis/prognosis might have flown, albeit "On - (Ashton)
                     next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat - (boxley) - (34)
                         She's so unpopular that she got millions of votes more than he did... -NT - (Another Scott) - (20)
                             Think of how many the candidate would have gotten without the deep negatives -NT - (boxley) - (19)
                                 She's so horribly unpopular but she got more votes. Hmmm... - (Another Scott) - (18)
                                     “Who was supposed to beat her in this alternative universe?” - (rcareaga) - (8)
                                         Iknowright!! -NT - (Another Scott)
                                         2020 how about someone not affiliated with Clinton cartel? -NT - (boxley) - (6)
                                             Name someone that you think would win. Quit blaming the Clintons. -NT - (Another Scott) - (5)
                                                 He's right to blame the Clintons. - (mmoffitt) - (4)
                                                     Blah, blah, blah. - (Another Scott) - (3)
                                                         He left 18 years ago, but his influence obviously didn't. What's "Charlotte Never" about? -NT - (mmoffitt) - (2)
                                                             Hillary's granddaughter. ;-) -NT - (Another Scott) - (1)
                                                                 Ah. -NT - (mmoffitt)
                                     Uh, no. - (mmoffitt) - (8)
                                         We've been through all that. - (Another Scott) - (7)
                                             Potentially Uncle Joe -NT - (malraux) - (5)
                                                 Ok. He's flamed out 2x before, but maybe he would do better this time. - (Another Scott) - (4)
                                                     If not for Neil. That'd come back and bite him in the arse again. -NT - (mmoffitt)
                                                     He wasn't an 8-year VP before. - (malraux) - (2)
                                                         I think nother thinks that with Comey gone, russians warned - (boxley) - (1)
                                                             You're mistaken. -NT - (Another Scott)
                                             Let me flip that back at you. - (mmoffitt)
                         Re: next time for president select a leader that a clown car full of clowns can't beat - (rcareaga) - (12)
                             not me, I didnt vote - (boxley) - (11)
                                 NY and CA aren't "the country", but WY is? -NT - (drook) - (1)
                                     You want to expand on that statement? -NT - (boxley)
                                 What about Michigan? - (Another Scott) - (8)
                                     So then.. making a pretty good case for (..in the end) - (Ashton) - (7)
                                         Voting things are being fixed in many areas. MI is spending money, etc. -NT - (Another Scott) - (6)
                                             Will the next Democratic nominee actually go to Wisconsin? Just asking... -NT - (mmoffitt) - (5)
                                                 She got more votes than Feingold. Hmm.... -NT - (Another Scott) - (4)
                                                     Yep, she brought down Feingold with her. -NT - (mmoffitt) - (3)
                                                         a > b [ magic happens here ] therefore a < b Is that it? ;-p -NT - (Another Scott) - (2)
                                                             You think she was good for down-ticket candidates? </me falls over> -NT - (mmoffitt) - (1)
                                                                 If she was so unpopular, why did she get more votes? Maybe Feingold was *less* popular. HTH! -NT - (Another Scott)

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