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Research, microtargeting & polling projects
- Over-sample Hispanics
- Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
- Over-sample the Native American population

The lower the expected turnout of a particular demographic, the higher the margin of error if you survey that demographic in proportion. Remember the story recently of the single black student who skewed a poll by 3% every time he responded?
--

Drew
New Yes, that's the LAT poll I mentioned.
His opinion was weighted at something over 300 if I recall.
Regards,
-scott
Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
New Yes, that one
If I understand things correctly, you oversample so that you can underweight and reduce volatility. That poll went the other way, just take who they got and overweight to make up the difference.
--

Drew
New Exactly.
Regards,
-scott
Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
     hey nother serious question - (boxley) - (20)
         From a casual glance - (hnick)
         Taking things out of context isn't way to enlightenment. - (Another Scott) - (5)
             not taking anything out of context, was looking at the Atlas project info - (boxley) - (4)
                 I don't see what Wikileaks has to do with polling, but YMMV. - (Another Scott) - (3)
                     Serious question. - (mmoffitt) - (2)
                         Depends on the context. ;-) -NT - (Another Scott)
                         The BBC and PBS are pretty good as sources. -NT - (a6l6e6x)
         Over-sampling isn't nefarious - (malraux) - (11)
             Thank you. -NT - (Another Scott)
             Specifically ... - (drook) - (3)
                 Yes, that's the LAT poll I mentioned. - (malraux) - (2)
                     Yes, that one - (drook) - (1)
                         Exactly. -NT - (malraux)
             Also too. - (Another Scott) - (1)
                 I totally missed that - (drook)
             thats what I was looking for, thanks -NT - (boxley)
             More from The Atlantic - (malraux)
             It's almost as if... - (pwhysall) - (1)
                 :-)! -NT - (a6l6e6x)
         PK weighs in: Oversampling at the Fed! - (Another Scott)

"There are two major products that come from Berkeley: LSD and UNIX. We don't believe this to be a coincidence." -- Jeremy S. Anderson
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