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New World population to hit 11B in 2100.
Previous estimates were that the population would level off at around 9 B. This new estimate says, nope.


The paper published online Sept. 18 in the journal Science includes the most up-to-date estimates for future world population, as well as a new method for creating such estimates.

"The consensus over the past 20 years or so was that world population, which is currently around 7 billion, would go up to 9 billion and level off or probably decline," said corresponding author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and of sociology. "We found there's a 70 percent probability the world population will not stabilize this century. Population, which had sort of fallen off the world's agenda, remains a very important issue."

The paper explains the most recent United Nations population data released in July. This is the first U.N. population report to use modern statistics, known as Bayesian statistics, that combines all available information to generate better predictions.

Most of the anticipated growth is in Africa, where population is projected to quadruple from around 1 billion today to 4 billion by the end of the century. The main reason is that birth rates in sub-Saharan Africa have not been going down as fast as had been expected. There is an 80 percent chance that the population in Africa at the end of the century will be between 3.5 and 5.1 billion people.



New Quit sending ebola aid there.
Get our people out and seal the borders. It should take care of itself. If they want to maintain the ancient lifestyle where they have to have 8 kids to get two to live until puberty, they don't need our medical help. If they don't want to change, leave them in the fifth century. Our planet is too fragile.
"Religion, n. A daughter of Hope and Fear, explaining to Ignorance the nature of the Unknowable."
New Re: World population to hit 11B in 2100.
I pledge to my part to keep growth in check well before 2100.
     World population to hit 11B in 2100. - (Another Scott) - (2)
         Quit sending ebola aid there. - (hnick)
         Re: World population to hit 11B in 2100. - (gcareaga)

They're a cornered rat, and quite frankly, I think they have rabies to boot. I'd rather not get too close to them.
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