via this '11 summary.
but for all our scienterrific progress in geo- ... p-waves, s-waves and such, it's still a crap shoot; much less of a one than anytime you hit a 2-lane in an area where there are more WIne-sampling spots than armored-Hum-Vees + droids.

(Don't have a 'earthquake survival kit'; figure that if I can't assemble such from the rubble, after? well, there may be no Assembler left. Y'know?)
Do have a generator; enough Start-current at 220 VAC to run the Well-pump--never started it up; left in factory preservatives because: once you do the start-up drill, you now have to run it periodically/else rust and all. I'll go with the Odds that the sucker will work--it was a genuine Steal at a couple C-notes for 4.4 KWP; subsequently, such models seem to go for $350, more-often 500+ to the uninformed. Other survival needs will appear, but if'n ya can't run Well/get water? + our utter dependency on e- Power, well.. ...

Trouble with our perception of one of these always is: Yeah.. coulda been a Close-one IF you Are near the epicenter, a mile or so down.. But as with Loma Prieta in '89.. a much longer-persisting heavy shaking, here: at the Real epicenter: well, you know.

Wasn't aware that USGS did these simulations/duh. Need to do some exploring there.
This scenario, which involves rupture of two faults, is much less likely to occur than any of the magnitude 6.8 or magnitude 7.0 scenarios.
"Comforting", that. Sorta--it's such a natural line, those two.

As to what this quake did to stresses on Rodgers [???] Maybe they can/will extrapolate on the possible interactions, later.
Nicely scary simulations: if the twisting of Rte 101 is derived from some decent math: doom for many.
On view looking S. from S. Rosa: Valley of the Moon is off to left (E.) a bit; unclear if Petaluma distance is scaled;
anyway, a 7? my odds better than S. Rosa's (heavily damaged by SF 1906.)

So then.. in addition to the psychological + mobs problems: add-in and stir. Pretty sure my cinder-blocks weren't stabilized by re-bar + concrete
(if they even do that now.) I shall simply have to arrange to be outside in a field.
That'll do it :-)

Ed: Add Local map places moi exactly between this fault and Rodgers. Kenwood is 5 mi N. of Glen Ellen, there shown.
31% Probability/30 years re Rodgers. Unless this one changed that guess, too.

Whether that is random (I doubt) or from lore and expectation that that point is the likely confluence? can only suppose the latter. Unclear if the epicenter Must-be in the overlap portion of their common azimuth. These two faults don't overlap for much of their extent, so there's a clue.
Separate roulette re. either one, solo. (Throw in San Andreas' count-down timer for further tragicomic relief: beats any manufactured-Game.)

If.. in-time before the event: cheap warning devices proliferate--like current Weather-emergency VHF boxes--I can be outta this cottage at-the-speed of-Moi (shooing a cat or two if inside: that's Easy.) Similarly, should the numbers crunch such that Rodgers Creek's rupture-probability gets a huge boost? Well ... I have a fondness for science; it's fed me since sentience.

Anyway, depending on New-numbers, I might well abandon my creekside patch to the next wannabe-Gentry, take the mo-nay, abandon 97% of mere-Stuff and migrate. Digs are fungible; wherever you go--there You are. (RV types grok this, right?)