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New Not likely.
From what I've read the aircraft was largely in tact when it hit the ocean. I'd expect greater structural damage prior to impact if they'd exceeded Vne. Especially when one considers how fragile those plastic airplanes from Europe are. Remember this?

The National Transportation Safety Board determines the probable cause(s) of this ACC as follows:
the in-flight separation of the vertical stabilizer as a result of the loads beyond ultimate design that were created by the first officer's unnecessary and excessive rudder pedal inputs. Contributing to these rudder pedal inputs were characteristics of the Airbus A300-600 rudder system design and elements of the American Airlines Advanced Aircraft Maneuvering Program.


http://www.ntsb.gov/...11130X02321&key=1

Since this is a fly-by-wire a/c, it's pretty interesting how the pilot was able to apply "unnecessary and excessive rudder pedal inputs" while flying well below Va. If these Eurotrash a/c can't handle a little wake turbulence, I doubt very seriously they'd stay together at Vne.
----
bcnu,
Mikem
New Did some searching
and that thing was dropping like a rock. Something like 10,000 ft a minute.

I had not realized that they flew INTO a thunderstorm.

http://www.theatlant...-tells-us/239598/
New Yup. ~ 120 mph down. AKA "terminal velocity" :-(
If one knows the numbers for mass, appropriate cross-sectional area, once can calculate the terminal velocity here - http://www.grc.nasa....rplane/termv.html

150 ft/sec = 100 mph.

Cheers,
Scott.
New One possible nit.
With the airbus' FBW [fly by wire] system and passive stick, the crew would have none of the force or buffet cues through the side-stick that might have told them this.

I am very far from an ATP and I know next to nothing about Airbus control systems. But, after about 9 years of hangar flying with some ATP's, it's my understanding that even fly-by-wire a/c have "shakers" in the control yokes. These are designed so that the pilot gets a physical cue that a stall is imminent. Maybe it malfunctioned or is not part of the Airbus design (if not, that, in and of itself, would be alarming).

This is very dangerous flying, I don't care who you are. In IMC, you're taught to "trust your instruments" because, well, that's the only thing that's going to tell you if you're upside down or not. It's a hell of a thing to be in hard IMC and not be able to rely on your instruments.
     Nova: 'Crash of Flight 447' -- virtuoso sleuthing - (Ashton) - (24)
         Thanks for the pointer. I'll have to watch next time. -NT - (Another Scott)
         New debris field found. - (Another Scott) - (7)
             Missed that.. thanks. - (Ashton) - (6)
                 Just a side note - (S1mon_Jester) - (5)
                     I note the availability, now of an emergency Attitude - (Ashton) - (4)
                         Well, for strictly Attitude Indicator... - (S1mon_Jester) - (3)
                             Thanks for the information. - (Another Scott) - (2)
                                 While I no-AI-chops, I did run Eliza on my Otrona.. - (Ashton) - (1)
                                     Thanks for the reminder. - (Another Scott)
         Black box surfaces.. but no memory! - (Ashton) - (8)
             They found the memory unit. ~1 week+ to decode. - (Another Scott) - (5)
                 Had any thoughts about pitot tubes? - (Ashton) - (4)
                     Might be worth a try. - (Another Scott)
                     Pitot blocks shouldn't be fatal. - (mmoffitt) - (2)
                         I still think it's more - (S1mon_Jester) - (1)
                             Alternate static *should* have handled that. - (mmoffitt)
             CVR found, too. If interested. - (mmoffitt) - (1)
                 Thanks.. 3 weeks to hear more. -NT - (Ashton)
         First reports from flight recorders. - (Another Scott) - (5)
             that sounds a lot like - (S1mon_Jester) - (4)
                 Not likely. - (mmoffitt) - (3)
                     Did some searching - (S1mon_Jester) - (2)
                         Yup. ~ 120 mph down. AKA "terminal velocity" :-( - (Another Scott)
                         One possible nit. - (mmoffitt)

Unfortunately, with great ambition comes great shit hitting the fan.
53 ms