[...]
But MullenÂs aides said the chairman was trying to make a subtler point, one that envisioned the deployment of military forces not as a sharp change in strategy from diplomacy but along a continuum of strategy alongside it. ÂThe American people are used to thinking of war and peace as two very distinct activities, said Air Force Col. Jim Baker, one of MullenÂs advisers for military strategy. ÂThat is not always the case. In the speech, Mullen focused his definition of military force on the forward deployment of troops or hardware to bolster diplomatic efforts or aid in humanitarian ones, rather than the invasions that the last decade saw.
ÂBefore a shot is even fired, we can bolster a diplomatic argument, support a friend or deter an enemy, Mullen said. ÂWe can assist rapidly in disaster-relief efforts, as we did in the aftermath of HaitiÂs earthquake.Â
As much as it seems as though MullenÂs first principle allows for an era of increased conflict, his additional principles flowing from that insight would appear to place constraints on the military. MullenÂs major proposal is that the military should be deployed for future counterinsurgencies or other unconventional conflicts Âonly if and when the other instruments of national power are ready to engage as well, such as governance advisers, development experts, and other civilians. ÂWe ought to make it a precondition of committing our troops, Mullen said, warning that Âwe arenÂt moving fast enough to strengthen the institutional capacity of the State Department and USAID in order to lift the greatest burdens of national security off the shoulders of the military.
ÂWe shouldnÂt start something unless we have the capacity to bring everybody on board, Baker elaborated, highlighting the Âprecondition as among the most important aspects of MullenÂs speech. ÂI almost read that as more of a cautionary note. That, at least, is commensurate with the spirit of the Powell DoctrineÂs cautions about a national over-reliance on military force. ÂIf youÂre going to have anything to sustainable to resolve a conflict, then thereÂs got to be something that follows, Baker added, Âor youÂre going to dump it on the military.Â
Stating the position from another  and more controversial  angle, Mullen contended in his speech that foreign policy had become Âtoo dependent upon the generals and admirals who lead our major overseas commands, an implicit rebuke of the structural factors resulting in the increased diplomatic profile of military leaders like Gen. David Petraeus of U.S. Central Command and Adm. James Stavridis of U.S. European Command. In other words, if State and USAID donÂt like being outshined by officers like Petraeus, they need to show a greater assertiveness and capacity to respond to foreign policy challenges before a president turns to the military to solve a problem.
ÂThere is an imbalance in our civilian capacity to work alongside the military in fragile states, said Cronin, a former senior official at USAID. ÂThe combatant commands are regionally based out in the world, and we donÂt have any civilian equivalent of that. So we have to find a way to connect our civilian organization, which is essentially a country team centered on an ambassador, with the interagency represented underneath, with the combatant commander, who has broad swaths of geography and can work across boundaries  which is necessary when youÂre dealing with non-state and mobile threats.Â
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I take this and the Foreign Policy piece as the end of the Rumsfeldization of the DOD. Instead of treating the State Department as 'know-nothing peaceniks who only get in the way of the glorious of victory', they're returning to the idea that the world is complicated and we have to have a unified approach. State and USAID need to be strengthened, not undercut. What goes on in Israel does affect what happens in Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran. We need to be aware of that and deal with it in a coherent way, not simply partition military strategy and tactics versus regional politics.
Mullen continues to strike me as a very sharp cookie who sees the big picture very well.
My $0.02.
Cheers,
Scott.