Lord Davies of Abersoch, the Trade Minister, flew to Saudi Arabia last night to try to defuse a growing dispute that bankers say could do as much damage to the GulfÂs bruised financial reputation as the Dubai shock of ten days ago.
Bankers are furious that two defaulting Saudi conglomerates that owe $20 billion (£12.2 billion) appear to be favouring local banks over foreign creditors. State-owned Royal Bank of Scotland, HSBC and Standard Chartered are all understood to have exposure to Saad Group and Ahmad Hamad Algosaibi & Bros (Ahab). Dozens of other Western banks are also owed money, including Citigroup and BHP Paribas.
The defaulting businesses are big messy companies, and there is a maze of competing claims, possible lawsuits and criminal investigations. But what has the big companies in the US and UK up in arms is that the Saudi conglomerates seem to have cut a deal to restructure there debt with local banks, while leaving the international banks with nothing.
This is a serious issue, because if countries begin favoring local investors over outside investors, it will lead to reduced investment and higher investment costs. Banks making loans will want higher interest rates to compensate for the lower chance of getting paid, outside investors will want stronger contracts and more direct control, and so on. Not to mention that a bunch of big investment banks are going to be out a lot of money.
Jay