http://www.dailykos....Daughter-Arrested.

I'm not sure what to make of all of this. On the one hand, there are claims that the votes were never counted; on the other there are very detailed numbers that show Ahmadinejad coming in 3rd. It's still early, so reports are bound to be muddled - it's hard to know what's really going on.

Even discounting the linear plot posted before, probably the best indication that the vote was fixed is this: When has a 85%+ turnout in a large multi-ethnic state ever resulted in the genuine landslide re-election of an incumbent? At least in the US, when there's a large turnout it's usually because people want change.

(Via comments at 538 - http://www.fivethirt...es-not-prove.html )

Cheers,
Scott.
(Who doesn't expect this to end quickly or easily.)