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IWETHEY Home / IWETHEY Board / Open Forum / R^2 = 0.998
Post #309,645
by Another Scott
6/13/09 11:50:21 AM
Reply
New R^2 = 0.998
They didn't even try to make it look fair. The reported results are a straight line with a correlation coefficient of 0.998.

http://andrewsulliva...they-came-in.html

Cheers,
Scott.
Post #309,655
by Another Scott
6/13/09 10:01:34 PM
Reply
New Nate of 538 says "not so fast".
He constructs a scenario that gives a similar linear relationship for the Obama/McCain results. Of course, the US results were reported by time zone, not alphabetically, so it has an artificial ring to it. But his point is well taken - a high R^2 does not *automatically* prove fraud.

http://www.fivethirt...es-not-prove.html

John Cole discusses some reason why the results are suspect, here: http://www.juancole....ian-election.html

Cheers,
Scott.
     looks like achnod wins - (boxley) - (13) - June 12, 2009, 08:59:00 PM EDT
         Given that's apparently how he won before, not unexpected. - (Another Scott) - June 13, 2009, 10:19:36 AM EDT
         R^2 = 0.998 - (Another Scott) - (1) - June 13, 2009, 11:50:21 AM EDT
             Nate of 538 says "not so fast". - (Another Scott) - June 13, 2009, 10:01:34 PM EDT
         More discussion at the Lede at the NYTimes. - (Another Scott) - June 13, 2009, 12:26:52 PM EDT
         Major riots break out in aftermath of election - (jay) - June 13, 2009, 09:08:03 PM EDT
         Maybe he took lessons from Stalin. -NT - (a6l6e6x) - June 14, 2009, 01:19:25 AM EDT
         A diary at Kos and comments at 538. - (Another Scott) - June 14, 2009, 02:25:24 PM EDT
         Opposition arrested and media blackout attempt - (jay) - June 14, 2009, 08:47:14 PM EDT
         Juan Cole on WP OpEd on pre-election polling. - (Another Scott) - (2) - June 15, 2009, 07:45:18 AM EDT
             comments on daily dish feed - (boxley) - (1) - June 15, 2009, 12:35:46 PM EDT
                 Quip heard en passant.. - (Ashton) - June 15, 2009, 05:02:09 PM EDT
         Interesting political view of what is going on - (jay) - (1) - June 17, 2009, 05:21:30 PM EDT
             Re: Interesting political view of what is going on - (boxley) - June 17, 2009, 05:28:13 PM EDT

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