The new credit-card rules approved by U.S. regulators to curb unfair practices will reduce liquidity at a time when consumers need it the most, and in turn impact consumer spending, prominent banking analyst Meredith Whitney said.
"The regulators believe they are actually doing what is best for the consumer... we argue that the unintended consequences of such actions will at least do a commensurate amount of harm to the economy by stifling consumer spending," the Oppenheimer & Co analyst wrote in a note to clients.
The analyst expects lenders to pull back well over $2 trillion of lines over the next 18 months as a result of risk aversion, funding challenges and the just finalized regulatory changes.
This means available consumer liquidity in the form of credit card lines is expected to decline by 45 percent over the same period, Whitney said.
If it does end up cutting 50% of the credit from the market, it could have a bad short term impact. But in the long run, I think it's a good thing, people use way to much credit.
Jay