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New Confessions of an \ufffdex\ufffd Peak Oil Believer
Intellectual fossils?

The Peak Oil school rests its theory on conventional Western geology textbooks, most by American or British geologists, which claim oil is a \ufffdfossil fuel,\ufffd a biological residue or detritus of either fossilized dinosaur remains or perhaps algae, hence a product in finite supply. Biological origin is central to Peak Oil theory, used to explain why oil is only found in certain parts of the world where it was geologically trapped millions of years ago. That would mean that, say, dead dinosaur remains became compressed and over tens of millions of years fossilized and trapped in underground reservoirs perhaps 4-6,000 feet below the surface of the earth. In rare cases, so goes the theory, huge amounts of biological matter should have been trapped in rock formations in the shallower ocean offshore as in the Gulf of Mexico or North Sea or Gulf of Guinea. Geology should be only about figuring out where these pockets in the layers of the earth , called reservoirs, lie within certain sedimentary basins.

An entirely alternative theory of oil formation has existed since the early 1950\ufffds in Russia, almost unknown to the West. It claims conventional American biological origins theory is an unscientific absurdity that is un-provable. They point to the fact that western geologists have repeatedly predicted finite oil over the past century, only to then find more, lots more.

Not only has this alternative explanation of the origins of oil and gas existed in theory. The emergence of Russia and prior of the USSR as the world\ufffds largest oil producer and natural gas producer has been based on the application of the theory in practice. This has geopolitical consequences of staggering magnitude.


From (the corrected link) [link|http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/Geopolitics___Eurasia/Peak_Oil___Russia/peak_oil___russia.html|Confessions] 
Seamus
Expand Edited by Seamus Oct. 5, 2007, 01:17:00 PM EDT
New Thanks for the pointer.
The Confessions article is a little too "hand-wavy" for my taste. A "commercially productive" well may supply some oil, but what about the cost to drill the well? Is it economically viable? The problem with oil isn't that we're going to run out, it's that it's going to be too expensive to get the 1/2 - 1/3 that's remaining in the ground out and to the market in a usable state. Since he doesn't give many meaningful numbers, his article isn't very persuasive, IMO.

Oh, and [link|http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Russia/Oil.html|Russian oil production is probably near its peak] and there isn't much indication that abiotic production is going to reverse that trend.

Lots of groups have tried to demonstrate that there's non-fossil-based oil and gas out there. AFAIK, they haven't have much success. I can't find the link right now, but there was a Scandinavian (IIRC) who claimed that oil and gas were formed very deep in the ground and that it's just a matter of drilling deep enough to get it. His oil well went 2-3x or more deeper than any previous well, but came up empty.

Another take on abiotic oil is [link|http://www.energybulletin.net/13650.html|here]:

If large quantities of hydrocarbons were originating within the deep Earth, as the "abiotic" oil theories suggest, then let me ask the next question: Is there any significant amount of oil and gas associated with places where the surface of the Earth is closely connected with the Earth's deep interior? Let me illustrate this with reference to a couple of famous geologic "hot spots" on this planet.

There are no oil seeps in Hawaii, nor in Yellowstone Park, for example. In both of these very fascinating places (and there are many more on the face of this Earth) there is what is called a "mantle plume" or a hot spot straight down beneath your feet. That is, the "hot spot" is an essentially vertical corridor in the crust of the Earth.


That article also has some information on oil production during the end of the cold war. ;-)

[edit:] Changed title and first couple of paragraphs.

Cheers,
Scott.
Expand Edited by Another Scott Oct. 5, 2007, 01:49:25 PM EDT
     Confessions of an \ufffdex\ufffd Peak Oil Believer - (Seamus) - (1)
         Thanks for the pointer. - (Another Scott)

Also, a cat pissed through the front of it and it won't boot any more.
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