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New SF Bay Area: not a typical market
That market is too far removed from reality...It will implode. It needs to.
It's certainly far removed from the gritty reality of the rest of the country, but there's a reason (actually several reasons, starting with weather, culture, cuisine, politics) that people would rather live here than in Muncie, Peoria or Hackensack. Obviously prices can't continue to rise at the rate they've been the last fifteen years—my 99 year-old crumbling manse, even with its foundation issues, would probably not have any takers in today's market at 4x its 1999 purchase price, but would be snapped up in a minute (with the Whole Foods Market shortly to open a hundred yards away) at 3x. I'm not particularly worried about an implosion.

cordially,
Die Welt ist alles, was der Fall ist.
New you sir are defaming Hackensack, a fine city
Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free american and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 51 years. meep

reach me at [link|mailto:bill.oxley@cox.net|mailto:bill.oxley@cox.net]
New As you point out, those reasons have been there
so the increase in prices hasn't been related to "everyone wants to live here because....". And given the number of people leaving the Bay Area (and CA, too), it's certainly not true eveyone wants to live here at any price.

Prices haven't increased because of job or population growth, because the Bay Area has yet to recover from 2001, and population growth is basically negative or flat.

Oakland will get some major decreases, but not as bad as Brentwood, Antioch, Mountain House, etc. Some initial evidence for this - Notices of Defaults are way higher for Alameda county vs last year, but are up even higher for Contra Costa county.

But, yes, if you can pay your mortage, plan on staying put for a long time, and don't rely on your home's value going up (e.g. for cash-out refi, like many people have been doing), sure, a housing crash makes no difference.

--Tony
     The housing crash? What crash? Where? - (folkert) - (19)
         He makes some good points, but he's a *little* pessimistic. -NT - (Another Scott) - (2)
             No, *Kunstler* is pessimistic - (drewk) - (1)
                 Or, a better link... - (a6l6e6x)
         Don't know what market he's in - (bepatient) - (14)
             Yeah, but nobody... - (folkert) - (6)
                 There's some beautiful countryside around Princeton. - (Another Scott) - (5)
                     Yeah, but the... - (folkert) - (4)
                         :-) Metropolitan areas are like that. - (Another Scott) - (3)
                             I guess you are not... - (folkert) - (2)
                                 I just took a tangent. :-) - (Another Scott) - (1)
                                     What do ya mean... Princeton - (folkert)
             Patrick.net is in SF Bay Area - (tonytib) - (6)
                 Re: Patrick.net is in SF Bay Area - (bepatient) - (5)
                     CA might be the center, but the problems will spread - (tonytib) - (1)
                         Cool. Maybe I can buy a forclosure. - (imric)
                     SF Bay Area: not a typical market - (rcareaga) - (2)
                         you sir are defaming Hackensack, a fine city -NT - (boxley)
                         As you point out, those reasons have been there - (tonytib)
         Rather negative on home ownership - (JayMehaffey)

Body piercings don't have this type of torque though.
45 ms