IWETHEY v. 0.3.0 | TODO
1,095 registered users | 1 active user | 0 LpH | Statistics
Login | Create New User
IWETHEY Banner

Welcome to IWETHEY!

New North Korea nuke timeline: the Clinton years
A summation of a timeline from the Monterey Institute of International Studies, plus details from other sources. Note the repeated failure of diplomacy - meaning [link|http://www.angelfire.com/ca3/marlowe/appeasement.html|appeasement] - to achieve adequate concrete results during the Clinton years. At best, it delayed the Hermit Kingdon's acquisition of nuclear weaponry by a few years, and even that much presumes you take a lot on faith. Is this Clinton's fault? Only in the sense that he was enough of a dilettante to trust in mere diplomacy in the first place.

Note also the repeated United Nations resolutions, and their singular lack of effect. Saddam Hussein was not the first to treat the UN's express will with utter contempt.

February, 1993: North Korean regime denies IAEA access to several suspected nuclear weapons sites.
North Korea stonewalls and blusters while evidence accumulates that they are developing nuclear weapons.

March through September, 1993 IAEA repeatedly threatens to bring the issue before the UN Security Council. Statements by Communist China undermine this threat.

July, 1993: Bill Clinton, to soothe South Korean fears, asserts that American ground troops and the US Navy will serve to deter North Korea from any attack on South Korea.

October, 1993: IAEA General Assembly passes a resolution against North Korea. Secret negotioations begin between North Korean regime and the United States government. Team Spirit milatiry maneuvers with US and South Korean forces used as a threat/bargaining chip.

November, 1993: United Nations General Assembly passes resolution against North Korea.

December, 1993: North Korea agrees to allow partial access to its declared nuclear facilities, and may not check IAEA seals. Bill Clinton declares this inadequate. North Korea then offers an expansion of inspections in exchange for a further round of talks. US and South Korea accept this.

January, 1994: Agreement is reached that North Korea will allow access to declared sites in exchange for cancellation of Team Spirit.

February, 1994: Norh Korean negotiators renege on unconditional inspections. Intelligence sources declare that the Yongbyon reactor is intended purely for plutonium separation. Eurochemic and Russia implicated in furnishing the technology.

March, 1994: IAEA detemines that Yongbyon will be online by end of year. Inspectors are shut out of sections of reactor.

April, 1994: north Korean regime calls for direct talks with United States. Hans Blix insists on access to two undeclared sites. North Korea refuses.

May, 1994: North Korea begins removing spent FUEL RODS from Yongbyon reactor, thus destroying evidence. United States threatens to seek a UN Security Council resolution.

June, 1994: Hans Blix explains to the Security Council that there is no way of knowing whether the removed plutonium is being used to create nuclear weapons, the evidence having been irretrievably lost. IAEA suspends techincal aid to North Korea. North Korea relinquishes IAEA membership. Kim-Il-Sung promises Jimmy Carter he will allows some inspections and cameras at Yongbyon, that the FUEL RODS will not be reprocessed, and that the reactor will not be refueled. (Jimmy Carter had publicly voiced his opposition to any sanctions against North Korea.) Bill Clinton calls for sanctions, while John McCain and other Republicans take him to task for having done too little to prevent the situation.

July, 1994: Kim Il-Sung dies, and rule of the country passes to his son, Kim Jong-Il.

October, 1994: United States and North Korea arrive at Agreed Framework, by which the United States gives North Korea many concessions, including two light water reactors, fuel oil, and other economic assistance, in exchange for North Korea honoring past agreements with the IAEA. This seems to include the IAEA verifying the fate of the spent FUEL RODS.

November, 1994: United Nations approves the Agreed Framework. With a small team of inspectors, IAEA confirms that North Korea has halted operations at Yongbyon and at Taechon.

January, 1995: In defense of the agreement against critics in Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Defense Secretary William Perry asserts that North Korea had been five months away from a nuclear weapon, and that this deal would prevetn the spent FUEL RODS from being used to that end.

March, 1995: IAEA asks to be permitted to inspect the spent plutonium FUEL RODS from Yongbyon.

Spetember, 1995: IAEA sends a team of inspectors to North Korea. IAEA General Conference calls on North Korea to cooperate and preserve intact all evidence. Hans Blix speaks of unresolved concerns, mostly about the spent FUEL RODS from Yongbyon.

October, 1995: North Korea denies IAEA permission to inspect the FUEL RODS.

November, 1995: UN General Assembly passes another resolution.

January, 1996: North Korean regime says it agrees to cooperate with inspectors.

March, 1996: Hans Blix reports that North Korea is not cooperating with inspectors.

May, 1996: David Kyd reports that North Korea still isn't cooperating with inspectors with regard to the spent FUEL RODS from Yongbyon.

August, 1996: IAEA safeguards report states they can't verify what happened to the FUEL RODS.

September, 1996: Hans Blix says that the IAEA is still unable to verify. North Korea openly refuses to give the IAEA "any information whatsoever."

March, 1997: Hans Blix declares that talks have stalled.

June, 1997: IAEA says it is still unable to verify, etc.

March, 1998: North Korea reiterates its refusal to cooprate with inspectors.

April, 1998: North Korea unseals the Yongbyon reactor for "maintenance purposes.:

May, 1998 : US and South Korea state that the IAEA has confirmed that the seals remain in place at Yongbyon.
July, 1998: US GAO report says that North Korea has not allowed the IAEA to install monitoring equipment.

August, 1998: North Korea launches Taepo Dong 1 missile into Japanese air space.

September, 1998: North Korea pledges to resume packing its spent FUEL RODS rods properly, after CIA reported it was hiding them in unsuitable containers. US government sources say that North Korea is complying.

November, 1998: IAEA calls on North Korea to re-open nuclear sites for inspection.

December, 1998: North Korea denies access to suspected underground nuclear reactor at Kumchang-ni. Bil lclinton offers North Korea more food aid. This food aid reportedly is diverted to the North Korean Army.

March, 1999: IAEA officials report that critical parts of the Yongbyon reactor have been missing since 1994. (What was that about all seals being in place?)

(Note: Many estimate that North Korea has had a nuclear weapon since about this time frame. Remember those FUEL RODS?)

June 2000: Two Koreas summit. North and South agree to rebuild railroads in DMZ. United States easessanctions against North Korea.



References:

Monterey Institute: [link|http://cns.miis.edu/research/korea/nuc/iaea7789.htm|IAEA-North Korea: Nuclear Safeguards and Inspections]

World Affairs: [link|http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2393/is_1_162/ai_55397093/pg_3|Clinton, Korea, and Presidential Diplomacy]


[link|http://www.angelfire.com/ca3/marlowe/korea.html#20050515|Angelfire link] (turn off Javascript to avoid popups)

Freenet: /SSK@jbf~W~x49RjZfyJwplqwurpNmg0PAgM/marlowe/korea.html#20050515

[link|http://fnmarlowe-politics-world.blogspot.com/2005/05/north-korea-nuke-timeline-clinton.html|Comment at blogger.com]

----------------------------------------------------------------
If you don't like my posts, don't click on them.
Well, pardon us for winning the election.
New those years ended 4.5 years ago
now what is the strategy?
same as before we dont have one
thanx,
bill
All tribal myths are true, for a given value of "true" Terry Pratchett
[link|http://boxleys.blogspot.com/|http://boxleys.blogspot.com/]

Any opinions expressed by me are mine alone, posted from my home computer, on my own time as a free american and do not reflect the opinions of any person or company that I have had professional relations with in the past 48 years. meep
questions, help? [link|mailto:pappas@catholic.org|email pappas at catholic.org]
New But don't you understand!!!
If Clinton has solved the issue back then, George W. Bush wouldn't look bad now!
Expand Edited by Simon_Jester May 15, 2005, 06:11:20 PM EDT
New **chuckle**
jb4
shrub\ufffdbish (Am., from shrub + rubbish, after the derisive name for America's 43 president; 2003) n. 1. a form of nonsensical political doubletalk wherein the speaker attempts to defend the indefensible by lying, obfuscation, or otherwise misstating the facts; GIBBERISH. 2. any of a collection of utterances from America's putative 43rd president. cf. BULLSHIT

     North Korea nuke timeline: the Clinton years - (marlowe) - (3)
         those years ended 4.5 years ago - (boxley) - (2)
             But don't you understand!!! - (Simon_Jester) - (1)
                 **chuckle** -NT - (jb4)

Forgive my indignation if this massage comes to you as a surprise.
140 ms