Post #182,459
11/3/04 10:12:26 AM
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No figure on number of ballots to be counted in Ohio
I'm guessing that is what Kerry is waiting on at this point. It appears that there will be enough ballots to count that Kerry will still have a chance, but it's not clear right now how realistic a chance Kerry will have.
It seems likely to me that the ballots will favor Kerry since a lot of them come from heavily populated city areas. But how much is an open question.
Jay
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Post #182,462
11/3/04 10:19:32 AM
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I recall hearing 250,000
Math time.
Bush leads by 130,000.
Historically 10% of provisional ballots are rejected -- 25,000 leave 225,000
Kerry needs first 130,000 to tie, then next 47,500 to keep tie.
=== Kerry needs to win 177,500 votes out of 225,000 or 78.88888888%
Likely no. Possible - slim.
Bush wins.
A good friend will come and bail you out of jail ... but, a true friend will be sitting next to you saying, "Damn...that was fun!"
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Post #182,482
11/3/04 11:15:21 AM
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The number is much lower
[link|http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,137407,00.html|Ohio]
"Republican Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell has released provisional vote numbers for 78 of Ohio's 88 counties, showing a total of 135,149 provisional ballots, according to Blackwell's Web site. "
This means there are a lot fewer then 250,000 votes, it is much closer to 150,000, yake away 10% and there aren't enough for Kerry to win.
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Post #182,466
11/3/04 10:42:21 AM
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Florida might still be flippable also
Apparently there are enough uncounted provisional and mail in ballots in Florida to flip the state. If the figure I saw of more then 1 million uncounted ballots is correct, Kerry may have a better chance of getting Florida to flip then Ohio.
Jay
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Post #182,487
11/3/04 11:23:00 AM
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Not according to this
[link|http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,137486,00.html|Kerry Calls Bush to Concede]
"The top Kerry election official in Florida said he knows it's over in the Sunshine State and did not see many litigation prospects there. But, he said, that approach may be applicable in Ohio."
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Post #182,511
11/3/04 12:50:17 PM
11/3/04 12:50:48 PM
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Concession means nothing.
If a candidate concedes but still wins, he wins, period. Concession is a quaint little custom that, when coupled with $1.50, will get you a ride on the CTA (for the next couple of weeks, anyway...then it'll take more like a buck-seventyfive).
[Edit: typos, what else?]
jb4
shrub\ufffdbish (Am., from shrub + rubbish, after the derisive name for America's 43 president; 2003) n. 1. a form of nonsensical political doubletalk wherein the speaker attempts to defend the indefensible by lying, obfuscation, or otherwise misstating the facts; GIBBERISH. 2. any of a collection of utterances from America's putative 43rd president. cf. BULLSHIT
Edited by jb4
Nov. 3, 2004, 12:50:48 PM EST
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Post #182,514
11/3/04 1:01:44 PM
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Wanna bet
that should Kerry win, Shrub will holler "He gave up, I win..."
A good friend will come and bail you out of jail ... but, a true friend will be sitting next to you saying, "Damn...that was fun!"
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Post #182,522
11/3/04 1:39:12 PM
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No, I don't
But on the other hand, he can holler all he wants (maybe even stamp his feet). Won't change a thing; the winner is the one with the most electoral votes, concessions notwithstanding.
Unless, of course, Duh changes the Constitution...but I don't wanna go there.......yet.
jb4
shrub\ufffdbish (Am., from shrub + rubbish, after the derisive name for America's 43 president; 2003) n. 1. a form of nonsensical political doubletalk wherein the speaker attempts to defend the indefensible by lying, obfuscation, or otherwise misstating the facts; GIBBERISH. 2. any of a collection of utterances from America's putative 43rd president. cf. BULLSHIT
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