You want instant gratification or what?
Time frames mentioned have been up to 50 years, so I don't think we have a winner or loser in the first month.
For certain things have changed for the Taliban - their success at conventional warfare is over. When B52s start [link|http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/p/nm/20011031/wl/mdf77532.html| running over your positions], you simply don't have positions anymore. Its off to hide in the hills, leaving the tanks, artillery, aircraft and cities behind. Soon we'll have to start batting the ears of the Northern Alliance to keep them in line (and focused on the hills).
For sure the American public wants instant gratification, but they aren't going to get it, so a few months from now this whole thing will be forgotten by the public and the media, just like Iraq - but the fighting will go on.
And, as with every conflict we get into, we will soon have a "Little Kabul" district in Los Angeles, to go with Little Tokyo, Koreatown, Little Saigon, Monterey Park (Chinese), the Iranian district, and many others. So long as they open some good restaurants, that's fine with me.
[link|http://www.aaxnet.com|AAx]