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New Obviously we disagree
The strategy elements that I'm suggesting that Microsoft might use with .NET has lots of precedents. Not just with other vendors, but it is what Microsoft has done with core markets (eg office) once it hits market saturation.

Furthermore if Microsoft starts facing a sea change where they begin losing control of core markets (office, desktop) in a big way, then you are likely to see big shifts in their behaviour. The fact that this has never happened in the past isn't good proof that it will never happen in the future. In fact Open Office already is putting serious pricing pressure on them. If it starts taking significant market share, Microsoft is going to have to adapt or die. And adaptation means a lot of transitions.

One of those transitions is that they have to become more selective in choosing loss-leaders whose purpose is to drive people to buy into core markets. Will .NET make a more selective cut? I dunno, but it is a significant risk that I won't accept without good reason.

Cheers,
Ben
"good ideas and bad code build communities, the other three combinations do not"
- [link|http://archives.real-time.com/pipermail/cocoon-devel/2000-October/003023.html|Stefano Mazzocchi]
New Not that much.
emphasis mine
...it is what Microsoft has done with core markets (eg office) once it hits market saturation.

We disagree that .net will reach market saturation, or perhaps how long it will take until it does. But your statement above I could have written.

AFA OO - something else taking share from Microsoft Office, we absolutely disagree if your position is that it will take less than 11 years for that to happen.

I hope we still have a way to exchange views in 11 years. It'll be interesting to see who's right. :-)

bcnu,
Mikem

I don't do third world languages. So no, I don't do Java.
New Keep in touch - it may not be that long
OO already is putting pricing pressure on Microsoft. Given basic dynamics of disruptive innovation, I'd expect to see a recognizable sea-change under way in under 5 years. Of course the installed base will take a few more years to really erode, but...

Cheers,
Ben
"good ideas and bad code build communities, the other three combinations do not"
- [link|http://archives.real-time.com/pipermail/cocoon-devel/2000-October/003023.html|Stefano Mazzocchi]
     Anybody use mono at all yet? - (mmoffitt) - (19)
         Not I, and I have no intentions of doing so -NT - (ben_tilly) - (18)
             Is this MSFT hatred only? - (mmoffitt) - (17)
                 We've been there before. - (admin)
                 Let me explain something to you - (orion) - (8)
                     No, let me explain something to YOU. - (pwhysall) - (7)
                         Poor humor ahead. - (jbrabeck) - (2)
                             Don't make me come over there... -NT - (pwhysall) - (1)
                                 I did warn you.... ;-) -NT - (jbrabeck)
                         Second hand knowledge - (orion) - (3)
                             VS.Net 60 day Trial: $4.95 - (altmann) - (2)
                                 Ordered, thank you very much - (orion)
                                 Mooreover, C#, VB# and J# are all available from MS - (Arkadiy)
                 No - (ben_tilly) - (6)
                     Noted. However, ... - (mmoffitt) - (5)
                         Bad assumption in my books - (ben_tilly) - (4)
                             Microsoft's strategy has been consistent. - (mmoffitt) - (3)
                                 Obviously we disagree - (ben_tilly) - (2)
                                     Not that much. - (mmoffitt) - (1)
                                         Keep in touch - it may not be that long - (ben_tilly)

Battling him is like wiping off puppy slobber.
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