Remember the buildup for the Gulf War and the Iraq War. Even Afghanistan. It takes time to prepare for things like that.

We don't have the men (and women) and the equipment needed to attack the DPRK and prevail. It's all been used up in 16+ years of various wars. Sending a few dozen Tomahawks risks Seoul being flattened, so he won't even do that.

Trump is a bully, but he's also a coward. He won't attack the DPRK.

He might do something stupid vis-à-vis Iran, but I also think overt military action there is unlikely.

My $0.02. It's worth what you paid for it. ;-)

Cheers,
Scott.

I don't expect Trump to be rational.

But we won't do anything without the ROK on board (assets based in the ROK have to have their permission to be used, I imagine). Moon isn't going to do that.

The Pentagon has to move stuff around to do anything substantial. It's a very different thing to fly a few bombers from Guam over the ROK than to do a real coordinated attack campaign and be ready for retaliation. The Generals and Admirals will tell Donnie, "sorry, we can't do that".

Etc.

Remember the delays and problems caused by Turkey saying that W couldn't use their bases to attack Iraq. That's just one example.

Get worried when the Pentagon tells China and Japan to keep their ships away from Korea because "the US cannot protect them from possible retaliation" or some such.



My $0.02.

Cheers,
Scott.