Really?

Post #407,655 by Another Scott 1/20/16 9:40:26 PM 1/20/16 9:40:26 PM Reply	Really? It's good to have a passport - they're handy if you want to hop across the border for a quick vacation. Trump's national net unfavorable numbers are yoooge. -15.5% HRC is at -9.1 (with a lot of noise) BS is at +7.1 (with a lot fewer surveys). Donny won't win the Presidency. I don't think he'll win the nomination either. If he actually wins Iowa and NH, too many people will come out of the woodwork to attack him for him to survive the race, I think. (For some reason, almost nobody but JEB? has been willing to go after him so far. It's hard to believe that won't change.) Cruz may win the nomination, but it's up-hill. If he does, Hillary will crush him and should have yoooge coat-tails, also too. I'm reminded of Kerry looking like a loser until he came from behind and won Iowa. If Kasich does decent in NH, he'll get more attention and will be the obvious choice of the "establishment" people. He might be dangerous in the fall, but it should still be a big D year when it's all over. Hang in there, and do what you can to create the future we all want. :-) My $0.02. Cheers, Scott.
Post #407,657 by a6l6e6x 1/20/16 10:36:09 PM 1/20/16 10:36:09 PM Reply	Re: It's good to have a passport. And for Scott it's just a commute drive to Cruz country! :) Alex "There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge." -- Isaac Asimov
Post #407,669 by malraux 1/21/16 10:46:38 AM 1/21/16 10:46:38 AM Reply	Really. There is, unfortunately, more to elections than favorability or should-bes. There's a reasonable chance this primary is going to be a floor fight between the establishment, conservative, and Trump lanes. With respect to the election itself, the Republicans want the presidency badly enough that I expect there to be Significant Shenanigans as well. Regardless, as you point out, it's good to have a passport regardless. :-) It also doesn't hurt to have a plan B. As far as doing what I can, well, ex-pats can vote too, eh? ;-) Regards, -scott Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
Post #407,673 by Another Scott 1/21/16 11:52:27 AM 1/21/16 11:52:27 AM Reply	Yup. They can vote - for a while anyway! Though I do recall that lots of over-seas service members didn't have their votes counted (too labor intensive, wouldn't change the results, arrived late, etc., etc.). Dunno if my memory is faulty about that though... Cheers, Scott.
Post #407,681 by malraux 1/21/16 3:36:28 PM 1/21/16 3:36:28 PM Reply	Well, as long as you are a citizen States are required to let expats vote. Your voting state is the last state you lived in, even if you don't plan on coming back. Some states allow expats to vote in local elections as well. You can be responsible for requesting your ballot as not all states will send it; there is also a federal emergency ballot if you don't get your real one in time. Regards, -scott Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
Post #407,683 by Another Scott 1/21/16 3:53:09 PM 1/21/16 3:53:09 PM Reply	It's scary how much you've looked into this... :-/
Post #407,684 by malraux 1/21/16 4:01:18 PM 1/21/16 4:01:18 PM Reply	More somewhat idle curiosity than anything I knew you could vote as an expat from previous reading, but the above information is from a 30 second Google to reply to your post. :-) There's a lot that goes into moving out of the country, not the least of which is how it affects one's children. Plus, in the worst case scenario (Trump or Cruz as President with a blow-out Republican congress), from a simple safety aspect staying in the country may be be best, sad as that seems. Regards, -scott Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.
Post #407,686 by Another Scott 1/21/16 4:17:24 PM 1/21/16 4:17:24 PM Reply	Re: More somewhat idle curiosity than anything I mentioned this earlier, but can't find it quickly. A different linky is below. Bobcat Goldthwait: "My favorite Barry Crimmins joke is, 'People say Barry if you don't love America why don't you leave it?' He says, 'Because I don't want to be a victim of its foreign policies," Goldthwait recalls in the "Meet the Artist '15" video for Sundance. There's some truth to that... :-/ Cheers, Scott.
Post #407,688 by malraux 1/21/16 5:22:39 PM 1/21/16 5:22:39 PM Reply	Indeed. Regards, -scott Welcome to Rivendell, Mr. Anderson.

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