Well, it's about 30 years ago - but a long lost friend working at the Navy Research Lab did a comparison. He looked out the window between 3 and 4 PM and predicted the same thing for the next day. He easily beat the weather service.
When someone says their conclusions are supported by complex computer models, I like to point out that literally billions of US $ have been spent on a complex computer model, supported by advanced satellites, the fastest computers in the world and some of the most talented programmers (probably inferior only to the guys hired for hacks and malware production). It cannot tell you accurately if it will rain tomorrow.
When someone says their conclusions are supported by complex computer models, I like to point out that literally billions of US $ have been spent on a complex computer model, supported by advanced satellites, the fastest computers in the world and some of the most talented programmers (probably inferior only to the guys hired for hacks and malware production). It cannot tell you accurately if it will rain tomorrow.