BooMan is optimistic about the Senate.
So, there are three races where I think the GOP has a clear advantage. But thatÂs it. I am concerned about the reelection prospects of Mark Begich of Alaska and Kay Hagan of North Carolina, but IÂd put my money on both of them if you forced me to make a choice. Mark Pryor of Arkansas has opened up a double-digit lead in the polls, and Mary Landrieu of Louisiana had a 24% lead in the April New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation Poll.
We obviously have to keep our eyes on races in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, and New Hampshire, but things look positive in all four states right now.
And that leaves the races in Kentucky and Georgia, where recent polls have shown both Alison Lundergan Grimes and Michelle Nunn up narrowly within the margin of error. If the polls are right, the Democrats are poised to lose three seats and gain two. And I think that is roughly what will happen. If Hagan and Begich lose, control of the Senate could get dicey, but I think there is a little padding to keep us from going down as low as 49 seats.
I agree. I expect small changes, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Democrats actually pick up more seats. The Republicans have crazy on their side, and I think people are getting tired of crazy.
I hope he's right about 2016. If we can just make it a few more years...
Cheers,
Scott.