http://www.cepr.net/...-just-be-confused
I hate to spoil the efforts at building fear and panic, but this is getting more than a bit overblown. Hitting the debt ceiling would undoubtedly be bad news, but an earth-shaking disaster is pretty unlikely. Everyone will get their money, with interest, even if it is a bit late.
The annoying part of the fear story is the implication that somehow things are okay now. We are throwing $1 trillion of potential GDP in the toilet every year because Congress and the President won't approve enough stimulus to get the economy back to full employment. And millions of lives are being ruined because people can't get jobs and earn enough money to raise their kids properly.
The media want us to get all bent out of shape because we could cross the magic line and then suddenly have to pay a risk premium of 5-20 basis points on government debt for years into the future? Sorry, for those of us who know arithmetic that doesn't come close to the disaster we are already seeing.
Yup.
But nothing is going to be done about unemployment and getting the economy growing again until the hostage-taking by the Republicans ends. Here's hoping we manage to muddle through well enough until that happens.
Cheers,
Scott.