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New We all know how accurate they are.
What did the NIE on Iraq's WMD say?
That Iraq "is reconstituting its nuclear program," "has chemical and biological weapons," and that "all key aspects--R&D [research and development], production, and weaponization--of Iraq's offensive biological weapons program are active and that most elements are larger and more advanced than they were before the Gulf War." It also said that Iraq was developing an unmanned aerial vehicle "probably intended to deliver biological warfare agents."


[link|http://www.cfr.org/publication.html?id=7758|http://www.cfr.org/p...tion.html?id=7758]
Too much of today's music is fashionable crap dressed as artistry.Adrian Belew
New Very true
I'm not foolish enough to say anything about the actual accuracy. The CIA has a pretty bad history when it comes to picking up the important stuff before it happens. But it is the political impact that is important here.

In a rational world Bush would be forced to back down if the NIE produced by his own intelligence service didn't back his position. How can he claim to be working from valid information if the governments own experts don't see it?

Bush, naturally, won't back down at all. And is liable to come back with something like "We have to invade now, before they actually have nukes."

But it will mess up his ability to cow and/or confuse other governments and Democrats into backing him.

Jay
New Of course...
The CIA has a pretty bad history when it comes to picking up the important stuff before it happens. But it is the political impact that is important here.

You assume they WANT to catch the ones that back fire on them...

Perhaps, they were "allowed" to happen to prove a point and to get something like DHS to happen.

Ever consider that?
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     NIE says Iran stopped work on bomb in 2003 - (JayMehaffey) - (9)
         We all know how accurate they are. - (bepatient) - (2)
             Very true - (JayMehaffey) - (1)
                 Of course... - (folkert)
         Jeez, only four years after the fact! - (a6l6e6x) - (4)
             Plame damage - (JayMehaffey) - (3)
                 wouldnt be surprised at some russo paki humint -NT - (boxley)
                 We've had problems alot longer than that. - (bepatient) - (1)
                     It wasn't loosing her personally that did the damage - (JayMehaffey)
         It says a lot of things that are obviously true. - (Another Scott)

Specifically, why is he still allowed to make them?
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