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New Investment advice
"Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather," David Hirshleifer and Tyler Shumway, March, 2001. The authors are at Ohio State University and the University of Michigan, respectively. They explain that:

Psychological evidence and casual intuition predict that sunny weather is associated with upbeat mood. This paper examines the relation between morning sunshine at a country's leading stock exchange and market index stock returns that day at 26 stock exchanges internationally from 1982-97. Sunshine is strongly positively correlated with daily stock returns. After controlling for sunshine, other weather conditions such as rain and snow are unrelated to returns. If transactions costs are assumed to be minor, it is possible to trade profitably on the weather. These results are difficult to reconcile with fully rational price-setting.

The full report is published on-line at [link|http://www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/weath15.pdf|<[link|http://www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/weath15.pdf|http://www-personal.../weath15.pdf]>]
This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
New Anybody
Anybody that believes is fully rational stock prices has just demonstrated that they aren't fully rational.

Jay
New Rationality is self-correcting.

Imric's Tips for Living
  • Paranoia Is a Survival Trait

  • Pessimists are never disappointed - but sometimes, if they are very lucky, they can be pleasantly surprised...
New Rationality is rationed in the population.
     Investment advice - (drewk) - (3)
         Anybody - (JayMehaffey) - (2)
             Rationality is self-correcting. - (imric) - (1)
                 Rationality is rationed in the population. -NT - (Ashton)

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