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New Layoffs more common in last 4 months of year, firm says

Workers be warned. The layoff slips will probably begin flowing in bigger numbers in coming months.

Research by Chicago-based outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. finds that employees are more likely to lose a job in the final four months of the year than the previous eight. The reason: Employers are finalizing budgets and business plans for 2004, which impact payroll levels, says the firm.

From 1995 to 2002, job cuts announced during the last four months outnumbered summer job cuts by 36 percent, according to a survey by the company. Nearly 2.6 million job cuts were announced between September 1995 and December 2002. That was roughly 700,000 more than the nearly 1.9 million announced between May 1995 and August 2002, the firm said.

Job cuts from September through December 1995 to 2002 were also 15 percent higher than the 2.3 million job cuts announced between January and April of those years.

The trend is holding for this year, said the firm, which contracts with employer clients to help terminated workers land other jobs. After heavy job cutting in the beginning of the year, the cuts dropped substantially in May, June and July, which so far are the three lowest job-cut months so far this year, according to Challenger.

[link|http://www.suntimes.com/output/business/cst-fin-jobs21.html|link]

Standard operating procedure in the end-of-year budget shenanigans by PHBs.

lincoln
"If you're on your deathbed and you haven't got a story to tell, then you haven't lived. - Asa Baber"
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New Gotta make the financials look good for the YE reports
-----
Steve
New That's why so many companies
terminate the contracts of their contractors in the 4th quarter, then bring the same people back at the end of the next year's first quarter. The work still needed to be done, just that they didn't want to pay to have it done on schedule.
lincoln
"If you're on your deathbed and you haven't got a story to tell, then you haven't lived. - Asa Baber"
[link|http://users3.ev1.net/~bconnors/resume.htm|VB/SQL resume]
[link|http://users3.ev1.net/~bconnors/tandem_resume.htm|Tandem resume]
[link|mailto:bconnors@ev1.net|contact me]
New Depends on what the mid-year crystal ball says....
If the economic indicators point way up, sales are up, and it appears that profits will be made, then managers are encouraged to go ahead and add staff and spend their budgets.

However, if, as in the past 3 years (2000, 2001, 2002) the indicators (sales, profits, investments) remain flat or down, then managers will then be further encouraged to cut staff, and defer projects.

Unless things are really bad, most companies can't go more than about 4 years deferring projects and reducing staff, unless they are getting amazing gains in productivity. So, by mid-decade 2004/2005 many of these companies will need to do some upgrades. The increased maintenance cost of aging equipment alone will drive them to upgrade.

Now, some of that growth may be outsourced and overseas, but also by 2006/2007 many companies will probably be unhappy with outsourcing partners and there will be an "opportunity" for Americans to win the work back. But remember, we're still competing globally (unless, of course, we pass laws to restrict foreign competition).

     Layoffs more common in last 4 months of year, firm says - (lincoln) - (3)
         Gotta make the financials look good for the YE reports -NT - (Steve Lowe) - (1)
             That's why so many companies - (lincoln)
         Depends on what the mid-year crystal ball says.... - (gdaustin)

It's no good shouting out all of these random occurrences where you happen to see the face of the Virgin LRPD in a pancake in Guadalajara.
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